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OKIsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 02:26 PM
Original message
The change in Arctic nature foreshadows the global environment of the future
Edited on Fri Sep-11-09 02:53 PM by OKIsItJustMe
http://notes.helsinki.fi/halvi/tiedotus/pressrelease.nsf/e1e392ad852e72f5c225680000404fa8/78a4c6ca61b92751c225762e002fcf6f?OpenDocument
Author: Kirsikka.Mattila 11.09.2009 11:42

University of Helsinki
Communications / Viikki Science Campus
11 September 2009

The change in Arctic nature foreshadows the global environment of the future

In Arctic areas, climate change is progressing faster than in any other location on Earth. Researchers at the University of Helsinki have participated in two new studies indicating that the changes are astonishingly fast. Many original species of Arctic areas are in jeopardy, as global warming causes species from southern areas to migrate north, where they occupy the living space of the original species.

The renowned Science magazine will publish a joint article by 25 researchers specialising in Arctic ecology. Olivier Gilg, researcher at the Faculty of Biosciences at the University of Helsinki, is one of the article?s contributing authors. The article was written under the supervision of Eric Post, professor at Penn State University.

The study results presented in the article indicate that the Arctic eco-system has experienced immense changes in the last twenty years. At many levels, the changes impact the eco-system services that the environment provides for people: the effects extend to the adequacy of natural resources, food production, climate temperature, and result in changes to the landscape. The changes in the northern nature can be interpreted as an advance warning of what is to be expected on all latitudes.

Arctic foxes and northern birch areas are in trouble

The results show that spring begins considerably sooner than before. The blossoming and pollination period of plants starts as much as twenty days sooner in comparison to the situation ten years ago. Predators are in dire straits because nutrition is now available too soon in relation to the otherwise favourable nesting period. The distribution of many insects has moved even more north. European winter moths, for example, have destroyed extensive birch areas in Lapland after moving north. Species invading new areas might supersede the original species in the area ? this is already happening to Arctic foxes, which are currently being overrun by red foxes.




http://www.iab.uaf.edu/news/index.php?newsrel=77
IAB News Releases

UA scientists seek new emphases in Arctic climate change research

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
10 September 2009

FAIRBANKS, Alaska -- Much of circumpolar Arctic research focuses on the physical, direct changes resulting from climate warming such as sea ice retreat and temperature increases. “What’s understudied is the living component of the Arctic and that includes humans,” said Syndonia “Donie” Bret-Harte, associate professor of biology at the University of Alaska Fairbanks and co-author of a paper to be published September 11, 2009 in the journal Science.

The paper reviews current knowledge on the ecological consequences of climate change on the circumpolar Arctic and issues a call for action in several areas of global climate change research.

“Humans live in the Arctic with plants and animals and we care about the ecosystem services such as filtering water, fiber and food production and cultural values that the Arctic provides” said Bret-Harte, who specializes in Arctic plant ecology in Alaska.

The global average surface temperature has increased by 0.72 F (0.4 C) over the past 150 years and the average Arctic temperature is expected to increase by 6 C. “That’s a mind bogglingly large change to contemplate and keep in mind that no one lives at the average temperature,” Bret-Harte said.

The international team of scientists who collaborated on this paper reviewed dozens of research documents on the effects of circumpolar Arctic warming. They note that numerous direct effects including lengthening of growing season following a rapid spring melt, earlier plant flowering and appearance of insects following a warmer spring, deaths of newborn seal pups following melting of their under-snow birthing chambers have other, often more subtle, indirect effects on plants, animals and humans that warrants increased attention.

Understanding how changes in plant and animal populations affect each other and how they affect the physical or nonliving components of the Arctic is critical to understanding how climate warming will change the Arctic.

One effect studied intensively at the UAF Institute of Arctic Biology Toolik Field Station on Alaska’s North Slope is shrub expansion on the tundra.

“Shrubs are increasing on the tundra as the climate warms and more shrubs will lead to more warming in the spring,” said Bret-Harte. Snow reflects most incoming radiation, which is simply light that can transfer heat. Shrubs that stick out of the snow in spring absorb radiation and give off heat. In this positive feedback cycle, the heating of the air immediately above the snow warms the snow, causing it to melt sooner. Warmer soils lead to increased nutrient availability, which contributes to greater shrub growth, which then contributes to still more warming.

Another effect studied intensively in Alaska occurs under the snow.

“We need to better understand how winter comes and goes and how that drives shifts in plant-animal interactions,” said Jeff Welker, professor of biology at the University of Alaska Anchorage. When it didn’t snow at Toolik Field Station until Thanksgiving a few years ago the soil got cold and stayed cold. So cold that microbes in the soil were barely active. The spring green-up was slow in coming and likely affected caribou forage, says Welker.

In 2008, the snow started falling in September and never quit. The warmer winter soils with their active microbes were insulated from the cold and were able to provide nutrients to plants that stimulated growth.

The authors call for immediate attention to the conservation of Arctic ecosystems; understanding the ecology of Arctic winters; understanding extreme events such as wildfires and extended droughts; and the need for more baseline studies to improve predictions.

“This paper identifies gaps in our knowledge, what we need to be doing and where the public needs to spend its money,” said Welker.

The research team was led by Eric Post, Penn State University, and included biologists, ecologists, geographers, botanists, anthropologists, and fish and wildlife experts from the University of Alberta and the Canadian Wildlife Service in Canada; Aarhus University and the University of Copenhagen in Denmark; the University of Helsinki in Finland; the Arctic Ecology Research Group in France; the Greenland Institute of Natural Resources in Greenland; the University Centre on Svalbard, the University of Tromsø, and the Centre for Saami Studies in Norway; the University of Aberdeen and the University of Stirling in Scotland; Lund University and the Abisko Scientific Research Station in Sweden; the University of Sheffield in the UK; and the Institute of Arctic Biology and the U.S. Geological Survey at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, the Environment and Natural Resources Institute of the University of Alaska Anchorage, and the University of Washington in the United States.

Support was provided by Aarhus University, The Danish Polar Center, and the U.S. National Science Foundation.

CONTACT: Syndonia “Donie” Bret-Harte, associate professor of biology, Institute of Arctic Biology University of Alaska Fairbanks. 907-474-5434, ffmsb@uaf.edu.

Jeffrey Welker, professor of biology, director, Environment and Natural Resources Institute University of Alaska Anchorage. afjmw1@uaa.alaska.edu, 907-257-2701

Marie Gilbert, information officer, Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks. 907-474-7412, megilbert@alaska.edu
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Zoeisright Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 02:43 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yep. Repukes whine and scream and obstruct.
Meanwhile, things are getting worse and worse and Mother Nature is getting very, very sick of human behavior. I wonder how bad it's going to have to get before the sheeple sit up and take notice?
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OKIsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 02:48 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Have you ever read The Sheep Look Up by John Brunner?
Americans wake up, and …

Well I won’t spoil the ending for you…
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hatrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 02:52 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. The hungry sheep look up and are not fed,
But swoln with wind, and the rank mist they draw,
Rot inwardly, and foul contagion spred

Milton, "Lycidas"
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OKIsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 04:11 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Well, Brunner's version is longer ;-)
But, yes, that’s the one.

After I read it (many years ago) I went hiking with a friend in a nearby glen, and was surprised and delighted to find green trees and plants growing beside a bubbling stream of clean water.

I think I may have cried…
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OKIsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 04:17 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. The Wikipedia entry is great
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sheep_Look_Up


Despite being nominated for a Nebula Award, the book fell out of print, only later being republished. The new edition contains a foreword by David Brin and an afterword by environmentalist and social change theorist James John Bell. Brin places the book in the context of Brunner's time and other writings. In the afterword, Bell treats the book almost as prophecy, drawing parallels between events in the book and subsequent real world developments: "His words have a kind of Gnostic power embedded in them that gives his characters passage into our world". A couple specific examples are that "Brunner's puppet of a president, affectionately called Prexy, is a dead ringer for our Dubya" and that sabotage done by the Earth Liberation Front is pulled directly from the pages of the novel. Writer William Gibson made a similar remark in a 2007 interview: No one except possibly the late John Brunner, in his brilliant novel "The Sheep Look Up," has ever described anything in science fiction that is remotely like the reality of 2007 as we know it.

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hatrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 04:32 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. He also pegged the Internet in The Shockwave Rider, and Stand On Zanzibar remains a classic
Edited on Fri Sep-11-09 04:33 PM by hatrack
I used to think that SOZ's projections of legalized pot and psychedelics were off the beam, until I started following the news from California in the past year or two.

Who knows? It may come down stronger and more effective means of pacification for ever-more-restless formerly middle-class Americans.
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OKIsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 04:39 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. In particular, he pegged malware in The Shockwave Rider
Edited on Fri Sep-11-09 04:48 PM by OKIsItJustMe
I was leading a discussion a few weeks ago, and explained Brunner's terms, “phages” and “tape worms” and how I thought they were actually better names than “viruses” and “worms” since they better described the way these things work.

On the other hand, Shalmaneser (from Stand on Zanzibar) is way off the mark.


For the uninitiated who may be reading these notes, I’ll warn you, Stand on Zanzibar is a hard read for many people. When I hand it to people I say, “You’re just going to have to work your way through the first 100 pages or so… Trust me, it will get easier…”

Here are a few hints:
  • "antimatter" = "A.M."
  • "poppamomma" = "P.M."
  • "J but O" = "Puerto Rico"
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hatrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 05:07 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. "The image is of a house . . . "
"The image is of a house: large, old, once very beautiful, built by someone whose imagination matched his skills. But he squandered his substance and fell on evil times. Sublet and then again sublet, the house became infested as though by vermin with occupants who felt no sense of attachment to its fabric, and were prepared to complain forever without themselves accepting responsibility for its upkeep.

Thus from a distance it may be seen that the roof is swaybacked like a stranded whale. Certain of the slates were cracked in a long-ago hurricane and not repaired; under them wood has warped and split. A footstep, be it never so light - as of a toddling child - will cause the boards anywhere on any floor to shift on their joists, uttering creaks.

Also the basement is noisome. It has been flooded more than once. The foundations have settled. A stench permeates the air, testimony to generations of drunks who pissed where the need overcame them. There is much woodworm. Closets and cupboards have been shut for years because inside there are the fruiting bodies of the dry-rot fungus and they stink. The grand staircase is missing a tread about halfway to the noble gallery encircling the entrance hall. One or two of the ancestral portraits remain, but not many; the majority have been sold off, along with the marble statues that once graced the front steps. The coach-house is dank and affords crowded lodging for a family of mentally sub-normal children, orphaned, half-clad, filthy and incestuous. There are fleas.

The lawn is covered with wind-blown rubbish. The goldfish that used to dart among the lily-pads were seen to float, belly-up and bloated, one spring following a winter of hard frosts; now they are gone. The graveled driveway is obscured with dandelions and docks. The gates at the end of it have been adrift from their hinges for far longer than anyone can remember, half rusted through. So too the doors within the house, if they haven't been chopped into firewood.

More than half the windows have been broken, and hardly any have been made good. The rest are blocked with rags, or have had bits of cardboard tacked over them.

In the least damaged wing the owner, in an alcoholic haze, conducts delightful conversations with imaginary ambassadors and dukes. Meanwhile, those of the other inhabitants who know how to write pen endless letters, demanding that someone come and fix their drains."
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OKIsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. Yup… time to go back and read it again…
Damn!

When he was writing something good, he certainly did it well.
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pscot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-12-09 02:15 PM
Response to Reply #2
12. Reading Brunner, back in the day
opened my eyes, for all the good it did me. It's not much use knowing a train is coming, if all you can do is lay there on the tracks and watch it bearing down on you.
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Zoeisright Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-12-09 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #2
13. No, I haven't, I'll look for that.
Thank you.
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NecklyTyler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-11-09 05:26 PM
Response to Original message
9. The Arctic is the canary in the coal mine
A the environment in the Arctic decays, so shall we all
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FirstLight Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-12-09 01:13 AM
Response to Original message
11. bookmarked for later
was just having a conversation about climate change while in 100 degree heat in central CA...
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