Dr. Housing Bubble 02/17/10

[Crewleader]

Get Over It because there will be no Housing Boom This Decade – 5 Factors That Will Drag Housing Down in the Next Ten Years.

In the midst of all the bailouts you might have missed that last month, in perma-bubble Southern California the median price of the entire regional market fell by $17,500. This was the first regional price drop since April of 2009. Now one month doesn’t make a trend of course but if you only listen to the real estate industry and banking cabal you would think that all of a sudden we are circa 2003 real estate. There is this pervasive speculative attitude once again in the air even in the face of a 12.4 percent unemployment rate. The unemployment situation was revised last month nationwide and the BLS upped the number of jobs lost in this recession from the “low” 7 million to 8.4 million. So basically we were underestimating how “good” things were for an entire year (the BLS has suspect numbers because of their methodology). Yet this is part of the new economic psychology where real data is ignored in exchange for bread and circus statistics and political theatre. The reality is we are not going to see any sort of housing boom for the next decade. In fact, housing will be weak for the next ten years (at least) regardless of what the government and Wall Street attempts to do.

http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/get-over-it-because-there-will-be-no-housing-boom-this-decade-%E2%80%93-5-factors-that-will-drag-housing-down-in-the-next-ten-years/

[ixion]

1. kicked and recommended

Always good to hear the Voice of Reason from Dr. Housing Bubble.

[phantom power]

2. Deflating this bubble would be a great thing for the economy. Likewise, CRE.

Affordable real estate is one big component of helping people start new business and re-light the ram jets.

[stevebreeze]

3. Sadly I must agree. There seems to be no reason

to think otherwise. The only way to have housing jump back up would be to re-inflate the bubble, that would be bad fro everyone.
Much better to vastly improve the social safety net so entrepreneurs feel safe enough to create their own jobs.
Much better to raise minimum wage drastically so as to make all wages living wages.
Much better to impose a sales tax on stock so the wealthy don't speculate but invest.