A shrinking income disparity between the wealthiest and poorest in the US is coming because the wealthy are seeing their incomes drop. This may have a number of consequences: lower tax revenues, fewer luxury goods sold and less charitable giving -- Not as may expensive vacations and private schools for the wealthy. The greatest effects in income are thought to be in the financial sector and possibly CEO salaries if Obama has his way.
The deepest downturn in the U.S. economy since the Great Depression may finally shrink the gap between the very best-off Americans and everyone else.
The top 1%'s share appears to be falling fast. Mr. Saez and other economists expect income going to the top 1% of taxpayers -- currently, those with about $400,000 a year -- will drop to somewhere between 15% and 19% of all income by 2010. That still would leave income distribution more top-heavy in the U.S. than in many other countries.
Less income flowing to the top could have broad effects, from the amount of revenue the government collects to the kinds of cars piling up on dealers' lots. For instance, the top 1% of earners will pay 36% of all federal individual income taxes this year, according to an estimate from the Tax Policy Center, a Washington think tank. If their income softens, so will federal revenue, making budgets harder to meet.
The country has seen large shifts in income distribution before. In the 1930s, top earners were battered by the bursting of the financial markets, and New Deal regulation and taxes helped narrow the gap further. The top 1% of U.S. families had 23.9% of pretax income the year before the crash of 1929. By the time World War II ended, their share was less than 13%, where it stayed for some 35 years, professors Saez and Piketty calculate.
Income Gap Shrinks in Slump at the Expense of the Wealthy