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Can You Beat the Market? It’s a $100 Billion Question

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flashl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 09:07 AM
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Can You Beat the Market? It’s a $100 Billion Question

INVESTORS collectively spend around $100 billion a year trying to beat the stock market. That’s the finding of a rigorous effort to measure the total costs of Americans’ efforts to surpass the returns they would have received by simply holding a stock index fund. The huge price tag helps explain why beating a buy-and-hold strategy is so difficult.

...

In his new study, Professor French tried to make his estimate of investment costs as comprehensive as possible. He took into account the fees and expenses of domestic equity mutual funds (both open- and closed-end, including exchange-traded funds), the investment management costs paid by institutions (both public and private), the fees paid to hedge funds, and the transactions costs paid by all traders (including commissions and bid-asked spreads). If a fund or institution was only partly allocated to the domestic equity market, he counted only that portion in computing its investment costs.

Professor French then deducted what domestic equity investors collectively would have paid if they instead had simply bought and held an index fund benchmarked to the overall stock market, like the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index fund, whose retail version currently has an annual expense ratio of 0.19 percent.

The difference between those amounts, Professor French says, is what investors as a group pay to try to beat the market.

In 2006, the last year for which he has comprehensive data, this total came to $99.2 billion. Assuming that it grew in 2007 at the average rate of the last two decades, the amount for last year was more than $100 billion. Such a total is noteworthy for its sheer size and its growth over the years — in 1980, for example, the comparable total was just $7 billion, according to Professor French.

NY Times
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0007 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 09:20 AM
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1. About as easy as jerking off a dead man.
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selador Donating Member (706 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 09:46 AM
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2. i do
Edited on Tue Mar-11-08 09:47 AM by selador
consistently

as a futures traders

so, yes it can be done

around 10-30 trades a day, 200+ days a year

took me 2 years to get profitable and over 50k of losses

that's the tuition i paid

fwiw, investors don't need to "beat" the market. they just need to dollar cost average into basic quality issues, sprinkle in some spec's (no more than 10% of equity), and keep some reserves in cash

that's it

it's not frigging rocket science

the best advice i ever got was to dollar cost average into a basic mutual fund

i have done so since i graduated high school. every month like clockwork

that's investing

investing is different than trading

there has never been a greater tool for wealth building than the stock market

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