The Ohio Poll (official, scientific)

[OhioStateProgressive]

November 10


Joe Lieberman...18%
Dick Gephardt...14%
Dennis Kucinich...12%
Howard Dean...9%
John Kerry...9%
Al Sharpton...6%
Wesley Clark...6%
Carol Moseley Braun...4%
John Edwards...1%

standard 3% MOE

go Dennis

[helleborient]

1. Do you have a reference...

I'm just curious about who did the poll, number of people surveyed, etc.

[OhioStateProgressive]

8. "The Ohio poll', Ohio Policy research group...University of Cincinatti

i take part in this poll thru OSU...Im not making it up

http://www.ipr.uc.edu/PDF/OhioPoll/op111003.pdf

[Freddie Stubbs]

11. Any idea if they will conducting another poll?

Every poll that has been released recently has shown Dean recieving bump of at least a few points. This poll is about four weeks old.

[OhioStateProgressive]

12. he did bump 4 points...i can post the last one

where he was at 5%


next one at the new year

[JohnKleeb]

2. So at the best Dennis could be right up there in Ohio

:bounce: Good stuff :thumbsup:
Ya get a link but seriously at the best we are doing great and at worst in the middle.

[pruner]

3. how about a…

[OhioStateProgressive]

5. it's a PDF file...

http://www.ipr.uc.edu/PDF/OhioPoll/op111003.pdf

[pruner]

7. that poll was released November 10th

old news to say the very least.

:eyes:

[OhioStateProgressive]

10. NO

someone made a post about who was winning where in the polls, and asked for someone to show a poll form November 10 onward that showed something different

I obliged and posted one

the fact is Dennis will *probably* be at about 15% on next months

[helleborient]

9. Thanks for the link! (n/t)

[everythingsxen]

4. WTF?

So I suppose my choice, General Wesley Clark gets 27% ?

Woo hoo!

[OhioStateProgressive]

6. no, he got 6%, and i forgot to add it, corrected now(nt)

[Jerseycoa]

13. Even better

MOE among Dems & Independents RVs: 5.4%

Go Dennis!

[tsipple]

14. Taken November 10th, or Released?

Usually the poll is taken over a couple or three days.

And it's a month old, which is one of the many reasons why I don't pay much attention to polls, even when they show my guy supposedly doing well. They change, and they're imprecise to say the least. Plus Ohio isn't going to vote for a very long time yet.

[OhioStateProgressive]

15. agreed, but that wasn't the point of the post

the poll is actually taken over a month long span, and is super scientific...but that wasn't the point

the point is someone made a post of compiled sci-poll data...and didn't include Ohios results of that same span

im sure it isn't intentional, but it happens that the poll, which should have been included, changes the results quite a bit

i felt that as a Kucinich supporter, i am obligated to bring this up

[depakid]

16. It's pretty much all about the name recognition- and little else

The PDF is an interesting read.

With the exception of Sharpton, you'll notice a distinct positive correlation between name recognition & reported voting patterns. Dean, ClarK & Kerry each had surprisingly low name recognition, whereas the supposed frontrunners had much higher name recognition that matched their standings. Interestingly enough, next to Sharpton, Kucinich has by far the highest negatives.

Another interesting finding is the gender differences. Men sure seem to like Gep a LOT more than women do. Ha! Wonder why that is?

[helleborient]

17. Why isn't it ok...

For a supporter of a candidate to post a legitimate poll and celebrate his/her candidate doing well in the poll? Without the timing, etc. of the poll being picked apart...?

I do think it's important to get a link to be able to see the legitimacy of the poll...but that has been established here.

Again...congrats Dennis!

[OhioStateProgressive]

18. thanks man!!(nt)

[Hawkeye-X]

19. Lieberman will be shut down after NH

So he'll drop out after that, not even touching Ohio.

Even that, Dean is already working Ohio.

Hawkeye-X

[OhioStateProgressive]

20. yes...Dean and Dennis will be fighting for Ohio, and it will be very close

it will be interesting

[OhioStateProgressive]

21. bump...or kick

[redqueen]

22. Warms my heart, reaffirms my faith in humanity ;-)

Thanks for posting this, OSP. :D

[OhioStateProgressive]

23. you're welcome:)

I have a feeling deep down inside this election is not going to be an open and shut case...and every bit of support Dennis receives will strengthen the voice of those of us who want to see the Democratic Party change

Dennis can win Ohio, and that is a statement...Dennis can also show well in California, New York, Florida, and might win a few smallish states

[redqueen]

24. If it is an open and shut case

Then that might be considered evidence that the party won't change, which would be my pink slip from the party, and my invitation to the Greens, all in one! ;)

[OhioStateProgressive]

25. i agree

but I again stress that Dennis won't go Green:)

[redqueen]

26. Yeah that's what I expect

You know... that 'integrity' thing. (it's so passe, 'pragmatism' is IN!) ;)

Just sayin... :)

[OhioStateProgressive]

27. i agree

i will say that I will vote for Dennis no matter which party he is running under