NYT - For a White House that would particularly like to see President Bush prevail in California in the 2004 election, the recall move that is threatening to topple Gov. Gray Davis, a Democrat, would seem, at first glance, like a gift.
But as a nervous White House contemplated the successes, so far, of the effort to oust Mr. Davis, it was hardly clear that the recall effort would provide the advantage Mr. Bush was seeking in the solidly Democratic state.
Some Republicans argued that the installation of a Republican governor in California would give Mr. Bush the organizational and fund-raising foundation needed to make a serious run there. But other Republicans, including several close to the White House, said the ouster of Mr. Davis could harm the president in California by removing a polarizing and unpopular Democrat whose presence would inspire high Republican turnout.
In his place, some Republicans fear, could be an inexperienced Republican struggling with the same budgetary problems that have contributed to Mr. Davis's difficulties.
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http://www.nytimes.com/2003/07/25/national/25RECA.html