Latest Ohio Poll numbers on the 2004 WH race

[goobergunch]

Ohio Poll conducted 9/4-9/19   MoE 3.4%

Approve Bush?                               55%-43%
Approve Bush's Handling of Foreign Affairs? 52%-46%
Approve Bush's Handling of Iraq?            53%-44%
Approve Bush's Handling of Economy?         45%-53%

http://www.ipr.uc.edu/PDF/OhioPoll/op092303.pdf


Democratic Presidential Nomination (MoE 5.5%)
Lieberman 22%
Undecided 16%
Gephardt  14%
Kucinich   9%
Dean       9%
Kerry      8%
Sharpton   6%
Braun      6%
Graham     5%
Clark      3%
Edwards    1%
Other      1%

Candidate Recognition among Dems
Gore     100%
Clinton  100%
Lieberman 91%
Sharpton  81%
Gephardt  79%
Kucinich  71%
Kerry     64%
Graham    63%
Dean      59%
Edwards   52%
Braun     49%
Clark     46%

Candidate Net Favorability among Dems
Gore      +58
Clinton   +49
Lieberman +26
Gephardt  +22
Kerry     +14
Dean      +11
Braun     +10
Kucinich   +7
Edwards    +2
Graham     +1
Clark      +1
Sharpton  -15

http://www.ipr.uc.edu/PDF/OhioPoll/op092503.pdf

2004 General Election Matchups
Bush 55%  Gephardt 41%
Bush 55% Lieberman 40%
Bush 57%      Dean 38%
Bush 58%     Kerry 38%
Bush 61%  Kucinich 32%

Name Recognition
Bush     100%
Gore     100%
Clinton   99%
Lieberman 93%
Gephardt  85%
Sharpton  81%
Kucinich  71%
Kerry     68%
Graham    67%
Dean      63%
Edwards   53%
Braun     51%
Clark     50%

Net Favorability Ratings
Bush      +20%
Lieberman +13%
Gore       +8%
Gephardt   +5%
Kerry      +2%
Braun      +1%
Dean       +1%
Clinton     0%
Edwards     0%
Clark       0%
Graham     -1%
Kucinich   -5%
Sharpton  -27%

http://www.ipr.uc.edu/PDF/OhioPoll/op092603.pdf

[ErasureAcer]

1. Good numbers for Kucinich

9% in the Ohio polls. He could win the state Primary/Caucus, he's in 2nd place!!!

Down 30 points to Bush but that's alright, he'll turn the tide.

Elect Kucinich, he'll get the 20 electoral votes there.

[ErasureAcer]

6. oops, Kucinich is in 3rd

not 2nd, as I said before.

[KoKo]

2. Ohio slumbers.........

Too bad......Good numbers for Kucinich, though!

[FubarFly]

4. Yup, that's why polls are mostly useless at this stage.

They are good indicators of the current state of torpor. But to use them to predict eventual results before the electorate even knows who the candidates are, is foolish. b*sh and Lieberman are both benefiting due to name recognition.

[DoveTurnedHawk]

3. Poll Was Taken September 4-19

IOW, only the last two days of which were with Clark as a declared candidate.

DTH

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

11. Yep. Completely fair point. n/t

[Brucey]

5. These numbers look way behind, what the hell are people in Ohio

doing? Don't they read the news?

[MercutioATC]

7. Nobody's really campaigning here (mass media) yet.

It's all grassroots stuff so far.

[jiacinto]

8. Interesting how badly Kuchinich fares in his home state

nt

[Padraig18]

9. I didn't want to mention it

But that stood out like a sore thumb to me, too.

[JohnKleeb]

10. Its not that bad

How are the others doing in their states?

[CMT]

12. Edwards, Gephardt, Lieberman,Graham, even Braun

lead in their homestates according to most recent polls. Some of them are dated. There haven't been any recent polls of Massachusetts and Vermont to indicate if Kerry and Dean lead but I assume they lead in their homestates. But this showing by Kucinich is one of his better ones in any state.

[Padraig18]

13. You're right, actually

At this point, polls are essentially meaningless. If this had been a poll in January, e.g., I might have put more stock in it. I just found it interesting that he didn't get higher numbers, is all. :)

[jiacinto]

14. Yes it is bad

Kuchinich should be doing better. That he can't even do well in his home state speaks that his candidacy has problems.