Obama Coalition Is Fraying, Poll Finds

[Elmore Furth]

President Obama is a complicated personality who has not brought all of his coalition with him. President Obama is a true intellectual. The philosophy that has guided President Obama most consistently is pragmatism. Obama the centrist is not very sexy.

In Writings of Obama, a Philosophy Is Unearthed

Critical parts of the coalition that delivered President Obama to the White House in 2008 and gave Democrats control of Congress in 2006 are switching their allegiance to the Republicans in the final phase of the midterm Congressional elections, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.

Republicans have wiped out the advantage held by Democrats in recent election cycles among women, Roman Catholics, less affluent Americans and independents. All of those groups broke for Mr. Obama in 2008 and for Congressional Democrats when they grabbed both chambers from the Republicans four years ago, according to exit polls.

If women choose Republicans over Democrats in House races on Tuesday, it will be the first time they have done so since exit polls began tracking the breakdown in 1982.

The poll provides a pre-Election Day glimpse of a nation so politically disquieted and disappointed in its current trajectory that 57 percent of the registered voters surveyed said they were more willing to take a chance this year on a candidate with little previous political experience. More than a quarter of them said they were even willing to back a candidate who holds some views that “seem extreme.”


Obama Coalition Is Fraying, Poll Finds

[HipChick]

1. un-rec since they don't take into account Hispanic or African-American votes

or other large minority groups which might reflect better polling

[county worker]

2. You left off the last sentence that says this is all bull shit because of the turnout

and because they didn't poll Senate races.

I posted the whole piece last night.

[bluestateguy]

3. This is another hand wringing Oh Noes story from the Georgetown Cocktail Party media

So I too will unreccommend it