Texas Congressional Primary Results

[NewJerseyDem]

There are three intersting democratic races.

TX-9: Freshman democrat Chris Bell is facing was thrown into a heavily black district because of DeLay's redistricting. Therefore, ex-Houston NAACP president Al Green and Beverly Spencer are challenging Bell. Green has the backing of the CBC PAC along with congressman Jesse Jackson, Jr., Maxine Waters and Bennie Thompson. However, Eddie Bernice Johnson supports Bell. Bell seems like the favorite especially since Spencer might split some of the black vote with Green.

TX-25: Austin congressman Lloyd Doggett had his district torn apart and his running in this heavily hispanic district. He is a leading liberal and lead opponent of the Iraq war. He is being challenged by judge Leticia Hinojosa and early voting numbers suggest heavy voting in the heavily hispanic areas that may support Hinojosa, but Doggett is still favored, it seems.

TX-28: Incumbent Ciro Rodriguez is being challenged by the 2002 nominee agaisnt republican Henry Bonilla, Henry Cuellar. Cuellar planned on running against Bonilla again but that district is too republican so he challenging his former friend and ally, Ciro Rodriguez. Rodgriguez should win and Cuellar's support from some republicans will probably backfire in the democratic primary.

Republican primaries:
TX-1: Several GOPers run to face Max Sandlin.
TX-2: Several GOPers run to face Nick Lampson. Ted Poe seems favored to win.
TX-4: Ralph Hall is running for the first time as a republican and should win but two republicans are facing him.
TX-10: An open, heavily republican, seat has several GOPers running.
TX-11: 2 republicans are running to represent this Midland based district. Michael Conaway is favored.
TX-17: Right wing nut st. rep. Arlene Wohlgemuth is running and is favored over Dot Snyder and Dave McIntyre.
TX-24: St. rep. Kenny Marchant is favored to easily beat several other GOPers.

My predictions:
TX-9: Chris Bell
TX-25: Lloyd Doggett
TX-28: Ciro Rodriguez
TX-1: Wayne Christian (runoff likely)
TX-2: Ted Poe (runoff possible)
TX-4: Ralph Hall
TX-10: John Devine (runoff likely)
TX-11: Michael Conaway
TX-17: Arlen Wohlgemuth (runoff possible)
TX-24: Kenny Marchant

[PDittie]

1. Chris Bell is my congressman

The Harris County Republican chair donated to his opponent, Al Edwards.

Sure hope Chris wis.

[NewJerseyDem]

2. Also, an interesting democratic state senate primary

Alma Allen is challenge incumbent state senator Ron Wilson. Wilson is a traitor who supported DeLay's redistricting effort because it might elect another African-American to congress. It is disgraceful and hopefully Alma Allen wins.

[Paradise]

3. why do texans love bush and repubs or do they? n/t

[Mattforclark]

4. returns at

http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/

[NewJerseyDem]

5. Incumbent Ciro Rodriguez trails Henry Cuellar

However, Cuellar's base county of Webb County has sent in a lot of its votes while Rodgriguez's base county of Bexar county has yet to submit its votes.

RACE NAME EARLY VOTES PERCENT TOTAL VOTES PERCENT
U. S. Representative District 28


Henry Cuellar 10,959 68.00% 12,663 63.32%

Ciro D. Rodriguez - Incumbent 5,156 32.00% 7,336 36.68%
--------------- ---------------

Vote Total 16,115 19,999

Precincts Reported 40 of 269 Precincts 14.87%
--------------------------------------------

[carpetbagger]

12. It's dead even, Rodriguez 50.14%

Way too damn close for my comfort. It would really suck if one of our safe districts got filled with a quasi-republican like Cuellar.

[NewJerseyDem]

13. True

Ciro Rodriguez is much better than Henry Cuellar. I hope that Rodgriguez is able to win.

[Mattforclark]

6. Doggett is ahead

Lloyd Doggett - Incumbent 15,053 66.55% 18,627 67.97%

Leticia Hinojosa 7,567 33.45% 8,776 32.03%
--------------- ---------------

Vote Total 22,620 27,403

Precincts Reported 51 of 227 Precincts 22.47%
--------------------------------------------



68 percent to 32 percent, with 22.47% reporting...



In the 17th district, Wohlgemuth is up by about 8 percent (44% total) with 1/3 reported. I am not sure whether to be happy about that or sad, because she is a gigantic fascist, which might make it easier to hold that seat, but on if she wins the general election, we have another fascistic nut in congress.

[Redbear]

7. In my opinion...

The best scenario for Chet Edwards is a bruising run-off between Wohlgemuth and Snyder with Hurricane Arlene winning.

[Mattforclark]

8. And a runoff happens as long as no one gets 50%?

It looks like that might well happen. She's at about 44 and went down about 1 to .5 percent recently. But it probably depends on where the precincts are that have reported so far.

Good thing that McIntyre fellow is running, I suppose.

[NewJerseyDem]

10. Now, McIntyre is leading Snyder

So, maybe it is better to say that it is a good thing Snyder is running to force a primary between McIntyre and Wohlgemuth.

[Mattforclark]

11. Yep

32, 31, 37.

U. S. Representative District 17

Turnout for the Repuiblican primary is only 24,403 with 63.66% reporting. Compared to turnout in the Doggett primary, that's roughly 40ish% as much (almost 50,000 with 58% reporting. Hopefully that is a good omen.

[NewJerseyDem]

9. Incumbent Chris Bell trails black challenger Al Green

RACE NAME EARLY VOTES PERCENT TOTAL VOTES PERCENT
U. S. Representative District 9


Chris Bell - Incumbent 2,782 34.75% 3,851 30.66%

Al Green 5,025 62.77% 8,443 67.21%

Beverly A. Spencer 199 2.49% 268 2.13%
--------------- ---------------

Vote Total 8,006 12,562

Precincts Reported 52 of 146 Precincts 35.62%
--------------------------------------------

[NewJerseyDem]

14. Chris Bell loses

http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory.mpl/topstory/2441339

Al Green's win in the Democratic primary race for the new 9th Congressional District seat had his supporters feeling good and the candidate himself even better.

"We are optimistic," Green said before the victory was declared. "We had our people out in the field. We had our people on the phone. We had our people in cars and trucks."

As his supporters trickled into the election party at the Hilton Hotel Southwest tonight, they took note of the lopsided early results and praised their candidate and the pleasant sunny day.

"The best thing we had was the weather," said Demetrius J. Matthews, a consultant to Green's campaign. "The thing with African American voters is you have to be able to get them to the polls."

[Wabbajack]

16. Is Demetrius saying

that black voters are too lazy to go out in the rain?:thumbsdown:

[Mattforclark]

15. Wohlgemuth has jumped up again, Snyder/McIntrye neck and neck

Dave McIntyre 2,127 21.44% 8,274 28.43%

Dot Snyder 3,657 36.86% 8,423 28.95%

Arlene Wohlgemuth 4,137 41.70% 12,401 42.62%





According to this article, Wohlgemuth and Snyder have been battering each other with very negative hit ads, while each claims to be more reactionary than the other. Negative advertizing may have pissed people off enough to vote for McIntrye, who has virtually no money and has never run for anything, but is an army Col. Looks like it will be a runoff, the only question is whether it is Snyder or McIntrye. It might be a bit better for Snyder to come in 2nd so that Wolgemuth and Snyder can keep on battering each other to death.

http://www.news-journal.com/news/newsfd/auto/feed/news/2004/03/08/1078725678.26609.9774.3338.html;COXnetJSessionID=AOYl3Wvfkz0GWxe6xtlzMbNwrE6ney1TpiUbCmpS9ZvGQdjQ2bOU!-885188394?urac=n&urvf=10788926456150.20608536364733065