Senate Races 2004

[2004Donkeys]

I see pickups in OK, IL, and AK

I see retention of control in FL

I see competitive races in NC, GA, and SC

We can possibly take back the Senate in 2004.

[sallyseven]

1. Lets start working on it now.

[HFishbine]

2. The presumptive Republican nominee in NC

is a lying sack of shit. He will be exposed.

[Catch22Dem]

3. I think Carson stands a very good chance in OK

He's quite popular here. He won re-election for his house seat with something like 70% ov the vote. He was running against a former used car salesman though. I think a lot of us were unable to get over those ridiculous commercials from his car lot days.

[dusty64]

4. I'm envisioning a tie.

At this early stage I'm seeing pickups in Alaska, Illinois, and one other. I've been seeing potential in Oklahoma, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Missouri and feel the backlash against the rightwing will allow a win in one or two of these states. Holds in Florida (assuming fair elections) and Louisiana and hopefully one of the Carolinas with a loss of one of them. Georgia is lost, but in reality would represent little change as miller is actually lower than a rethug.

[Padraig18]

5. IL will be a definite pickup.

The post-Ryan Republican party here is in a complete, fratricidal shambles, and our nominee will have to be caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy to lose in November. :)

[liberalpragmatist]

6. Georgia's Likely a Lost Cause

But I'm actually quite optimistic about our other 4 southern seats; they'll all be close, but we have strong candidates in each, and with the right campaign, enough effort, and enough money, I think we can pull it off in Fla., SC, NC, and La.

Plus, I agree. Oklahoma, Illinois, and Alaska are strong pickup opportunities. Pennsylvania and Missouri are two other possibilities.

Of course, we may be facing a mildly competitive race in California, and a far more competitive race in SD, but if we play our cards right we could get a net gain of 2 (which would be ideal, since if Kerry wins he'd have to resign; a net gain of two would allow us to hold on to our majority).

[Doomsayer13]

7. It could be interesting

For now, I say that IL is the best chance for a pick up while OK and AK give us even odds, with OK slightly in our favor and AK slightly against.

FL is about even, but i espect to lose GA and either NC or SC, barring Democratic sweep.

If we can keep NC and SC, we could gain a one vote majority in the senate, supposing we win IL, OK, and AK. Eitherway, it's a tough uphill battle.

[lams712]

8. I wish I was optimistic like you....

....I only see one clearcut pick-up: Illinois. I think NC will be a Democratic hold, especially if Edwards is on the ticket and has some coattails. The rest I think are going to Republicans, unless the Democratic presidential ticket can raise passion and high voter turnout (which I really hope they do).

[PROGRESSIVE1]

9. We will retain North Carolina, Louisiana, and Florida, also....

we will take Illinois. South Carolina is a toss-up and Georgia is
a lost cause, in MANY WAYS that is.

[Mr_X]

10. Vote

Be sure to vote. We must win.