HawkerHurricane's NFL Power Ratings! (week 16)

[HawkerHurricane]

Welcome once more to HawkerHurricane’s NFL power rating.
Now, the system gives TWO points for every win and one point for every win by your opponent...
Division leaders get a d, clinched divisions get a D. Wildcards get a w. Clinched playoff spots get a *. Teams eliminated get a x. Teams not yet eliminated will be given a # to show how far out they are…

Rank Team points record comment

32 Chargers 23 3-12/x Future Nome Chargers? Nome doesn’t want them!

30 Browns 28 4-11/x Can’t even get revenge on Art Modell.

31 Cardinals 30 3-12/x Pity the Cardinals.

28 Lions 31 4-11/x Pity the Lions.

26 Raiders 37 4-11/x Ya see, Green Bay WANTS to win…

29 Falcons 39 4-11/x Vick plays spoiler vs. Bucs.

24 Giants 40 4-11/x Seven game losing streak…

27 Jaguars 43 5-10/x Knocks the Ain’ts out, thereby performing a mercy.

25 Steelers 43 6-9/x Beating the Chargers still doesn’t impress me.

23 Texans 44 5-10/x Expansion team blues.

22 Redskins 46 5-10/x The Future is dead.

20 Jets 49 6-9/x Another victim of NEP’s juggernaut.

19 Saints 50 7-8/x Gone quietly into the night…

17 Bills 52 6-9/x Pity the Bills.

21 Bears 52 7-8/x The ‘x’ is here.

16 Buccaneers 60 7-8/x And there will be no repeat Super Bowl Champs.

18 49rs 64 7-8/x 49rs play spoiler, help Rams. (huh?)

9 Bengals 71 8-7/1 Hanging by a thread.

13 Seahawks 71 9-6/w Three way fight for two slots…
14 Dolphins 72 9-6/x Eliminated, but could have a better record than the AFC North winner.

15 Ravens 73 9-6/d The last question of the AFC…

11 Packers 75 9-6/d Won for Dad.

8 Cowboys 78 10-5/w* Clinched spot, feeling lucky.

10 Broncos 79 10-5/W* Contenders.

7 Panthers 80 10-5/D* Confirmed into the playoffs.

12 Vikings 84 9-6/w BIG win vs. KC gives them 14 pts, and hope…

4 Chiefs 92 12-3/D* I guess they were over ranked, after all.

3 Eagles 96 11-4/d* Loss to SF could be devastating.

2 Colts 97 11-4/d* Painful loss might cost them division.

5 Titans 99 11-4/w* Tied with the Mighty Colts.

6 Rams 102 12-3D* Looking for home field.

1 Patriots 127 13-2/D* It’s a plane…

Play off picture…
AFC EAST
New England has clinched division title and a first-round bye.
New England can clinch homefield advantage throughout AFC playoffs with:
1) NE win or tie OR
2) KC loss or tie
AFC NORTH
Baltimore can clinch division title with:
1) BAL win or tie OR
2) CIN loss or tie
Baltimore is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss and a Cincinnati win.
Cincinnati can clinch division title with:
1) CIN win + BAL loss
Cincinnati is eliminated from playoff contention with a loss or tie OR a Baltimore win or tie.
AFC SOUTH
Indianapolis has clinched playoff berth.
Indianapolis can clinch division title with:
1) IND win OR
2) TEN loss OR
3) IND tie + TEN tie
Tennessee has clinched playoff berth.
Tennessee can clinch division title with:
1) TEN win or tie + IND loss
AFC WEST
Kansas City has clinched division title and a first-round bye.
Kansas City can clinch homefield advantage throughout AFC playoffs with:
1) KC win + NE loss
Denver has clinched playoff berth and will play first-round game.
NFC EAST
Philadelphia has clinched playoff berth.
Philadelphia can clinch division title and a first-round bye with:
1) PHI win or tie OR
2) DAL loss or tie
Philadelphia can clinch homefield adantage throughout playoffs with:
1) PHI win + STL loss
Dallas has clinched playoff berth.
Dallas can clinch division title and first-round bye with:
1) DAL win + PHI loss
NFC NORTH
Minnesota can clinch division title with:
1) MIN win OR
2) GB loss OR
3) MIN tie + GB tie
Minnesota can clinch playoff berth with:
1) SEA loss OR
2) MIN tie + SEA tie
Green Bay can clinch division title with:
1) GB win + MIN loss or tie OR
2) GB tie + MIN loss
Green Bay can clinch playoff berth with:
1) SEA loss OR
2) GB win + DAL win or tie OR
3) GB win + DAL has better strength of victory than SEA OR
4) GB win or tie + SEA tie
NFC SOUTH
Carolina has clinched division title.
NFC WEST
St. Louis has clinched division title and a first-round bye.
St. Louis can clinch homefield advantage throughout playoffs with:
1) STL win or tie OR
2) PHI loss or tie
Seattle can clinch playoff berth with:
1) SEA win + MIN loss or tie OR
2) SEA win + GB loss or tie OR
3) SEA win + DAL loss + SEA has better strength of victory than DAL OR
4) SEA tie + MIN loss OR
5) SEA tie + GB loss
Arizona, Atlanta, Buffalo, Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, Houston, Jacksonville, Miami, New Orleans, N.Y. Giants, N.Y. Jets, Oakland, Pittsburgh, San Diego, San Francisco, Tampa Bay and Washington have been eliminated from playoff contention.
(cut and pasted from NFL.com)

So, here’s how the prediction looks now…
Patriots over Titans in AFC championship.
Rams over Eagles in NFC championship.
Patriots over Rams in Super Bowl rematch I’d rather not see.
But, as always, any given Sunday.

[Faygo Kid]

1. We're only 28th?? Lions would lose to all.

After last week's balanced attack (53 yards rushing, 53 passing), how can you doubt the Lions? Right now, they would lose to all of them, and the Little Sisters of Mercy, as well, by at least two touchdowns. You are a well respected prognosticator, but you have this one wrong. Save us some pride, after 47 years and one playoff win. At least, acknowledge we are the worst.
I hope, after the season is over, you will do a last 40 years overall power ratings. And I hope that then, you will see the Truth. (Apologies to Cardinals and Saints fans).

[HawkerHurricane]

3. While the Lions have longevity on thier side...

THIS year the Chargers are most pathetic.
And given the Chargers ownership (Alex Spanos spends more on donations to Republican city councilmen than he does on players; and makes more money doing it) I don't see any change in the future.

[Faygo Kid]

7. Lions got pounded by the Chargers, a couple of weeks ago

It wasn't even close. You need to rethink. As for the owners, they are all rich and disgusting. Right now, the Lions are the worst, and they proved it against the Chargers. Check it out.

[HawkerHurricane]

8. Not all owners are bad...

Green Bay's owners are cool...

Comparing Chargers and Lions...
Chargers get
6 points for 3 wins
4 points for beating Cleveland
9 points for beating Minnesota (who beat the Lions twice)
4 points for beating Detroit.
23 total points.

Lions get
8 points for 4 wins
3 points for beating Arizona
4 points for beating Oakland (who beat the Chargers twice)
7 points for beating Chicago (who also beat the Chargers)
9 points for beating Green Bay (who beat the Chargers)
31 total points

Also, one more Charger loss will clinch them the first round draft pick as worst team.
This year, the Chargers are the worst. Although I will give the Lions worst team of the past 50 years, if you insist.

[wysimdnwyg]

9. "Green Bay's owners are cool"

Why thank you, kind sir! I happen to own one share of Packer stock, so I'll assume that remark was directed at me. :-)

[HawkerHurricane]

11. It was

And the other owners, the fans who OWN thier own team. How I wish that more communities owned the teams associated with thier city's names.

[Faygo Kid]

10. Thank You!

Geez, tough to get a compliment for the Silver and Blue around here. The Lions are the worst of the past 50 (at least 47) years. Despite the points (and you do a great job, HawkerHurricane), right now, I don't think the Lions could beat anybody, anywhere. But, that's just foolish emotional attachment, and a history of following them since I was 11, in 1962, I guess. Who do you think they could beat, right now? And would you put $$$ on that prediction?

[HawkerHurricane]

12. The problem is settling that bet...

Given that the only team left in the season for the (admittedly) hapless Lions are the streaking St. Louis Rams. If the Lions played outdoors they'd have a chance, as it is the 'Greatest Show on Turf' is coming to town...
Meanwhile, the Chargers get to face the Raiders in Oakland, which will lead to a Raider victory when the Chargers choke faster than the Silver and Black can.
The Cardinals get the Vikings when the Vikes are trying to clinch a playoff spot.
Lots of pity to go around, this time of year.

[Capn Sunshine]

2. Hawker, I love this!!

Best one I've seen. :yourock:

I think Green Bay is going deeper into the playoffs than people think. I think Philly if it doesn't lose it's first game could streak in there.

[HawkerHurricane]

5. Green Bay still isn't IN the playoffs...

Can Favre win it all for his Dad?

[Caution]

4. The point differential for my patriots shows it all

Remember a few weeks back when you were questioning your ranking system when the pats knocked the chiefs out of the top spot? Looks like your system is pretty accurate after all!

[HawkerHurricane]

6. Looks like...

Yep, I remember, and the Pats have proven me right.

Now, the true test starts in two weeks: how these teams perform in the playoffs!

[HawkerHurricane]

13. Forgot to number them...

Last weeks ranks in Parens...
Rank Team points record comment

32 (32) Chargers 23 3-12/x Future Nome Chargers? Nome doesn’t want them!

31 (30) Browns 28 4-11/x Can’t even get revenge on Art Modell.

30 (31) Cardinals 30 3-12/x Pity the Cardinals.

29 (28) Lions 31 4-11/x Pity the Lions.

28 (26) Raiders 37 4-11/x Ya see, Green Bay WANTS to win…

27 (29) Falcons 39 4-11/x Vick plays spoiler vs. Bucs.

26 (24) Giants 40 4-11/x Seven game losing streak…

25 (27) Jaguars 43 5-10/x Knocks the Ain’ts out, thereby performing a mercy.

24 (25) Steelers 43 6-9/x Beating the Chargers still doesn’t impress me.

23 (23) Texans 44 5-10/x Expansion team blues.

22 (22) Redskins 46 5-10/x The Future is dead.

21 (20) Jets 49 6-9/x Another victim of NEP’s juggernaut.

20 (19) Saints 50 7-8/x Gone quietly into the night…

19 (17) Bills 52 6-9/x Pity the Bills.

18 (21) Bears 52 7-8/x The ‘x’ is here.

17 (16) Buccaneers 60 7-8/x And there will be no repeat Super Bowl Champs.

16 (18) 49rs 64 7-8/x 49rs play spoiler, help Rams. (huh?)

15 (9) Bengals 71 8-7/1 Hanging by a thread.

14 (13) Seahawks 71 9-6/w Three way fight for two slots…

13 (14) Dolphins 72 9-6/x Eliminated, but could have a better record than the AFC North winner.

12 (15) Ravens 73 9-6/d The last question of the AFC…

11 (11) Packers 75 9-6/d Won for Dad.

10 (8) Cowboys 78 10-5/w* Clinched spot, feeling lucky.

9 (10) Broncos 79 10-5/W* Contenders.

8 (7) Panthers 80 10-5/D* Confirmed into the playoffs.

7 (12) Vikings 84 9-6/w BIG win vs. KC gives them 14 pts, and hope…

6 (4) Chiefs 92 12-3/D* I guess they were over ranked, after all.

5 (3) Eagles 96 11-4/d* Loss to SF could be devastating.

4 (2) Colts 97 11-4/d* Painful loss might cost them division.

3 (5) Titans 99 11-4/w* Tied with the Mighty Colts.

2 (6) Rams 102 12-3D* Looking for home field.

1 (1) Patriots 127 13-2/D* It’s a plane…

[HawkerHurricane]

14. I guess I'm just not popular any more...

Not as many questions about who's leading who, and the activity level drops.