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Coming back from a 3 game deficit to win a 7 game series.

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DrWeird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-20-04 04:55 PM
Original message
Coming back from a 3 game deficit to win a 7 game series.
Think about that. It's ridiculously difficult to do. (yes, I know it's never been done, I'm talking about difficult from a theoretical perspective.)

Think about it. If you've got teams that are evenly matched, it's like flipping a coin. Half the time you'll win. Half the time you'll lose.

Winning three games in a row isn't a big deal. Assuming teams are even in skill, there's still a twelve percent change of it occuring randomly, and you see it all the time in practice.

But winning four games in a row is a lot more difficult. Only 6% if you do things randomly (am I doing my math right?). It occurs in practice, four game winning streaks aren't that big a deal, but how often does a four game winning streak come on the back of a three game winning streak? I mean if you were given that the yankees only had a 12% change of winning the first three games, then the odds of the Sox winning the next four would be 00.7%.

But then again, the Red Sox just got lucky during games 4 and 5 and by a complete stroke of luck got a run in during extra innings, and only really played one good game. So maybe they can play two good games in a seven game series.
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CatWoman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-20-04 05:55 PM
Response to Original message
1. I'm trying to figure out if I want the Sox to win
so they could take on Houston.

Like Kerry vs Bush, you know?

Hey Yankee fans -- I'm not a traitor. Just the political junkie coming out of me.
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GOPisEvil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-20-04 05:58 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. What? No apology to us Cardinals fan?
I see how you are! :hi:
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CatWoman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-20-04 06:08 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. nah -- I'm not into the Cardinals
but I am a Yankees fan.

besides -- no one from Missouri is running :D
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