Bernstein:
As I see it, the only way to make panspermia even remotely plausible would be if there were an awful lot of these organisms out there, and they were falling in all the time. You should be able to make a rough estimate of how many there might be in the interplanetary or interstellar medium. Now consider all of the meteorites and interplanetary dust particles that we have collected in the upper atmosphere, and the probes that have collected interplanetary dust. I think that you will find that we should have found evidence of this space bacteria.So it takes only one 4 billion year old spontaneously generated cell to start all Earthly life in your scenario, but it takes trillions of "space bacteria" raining down on Earth to the present day to accomplish the same task in mine?
And please note that evidence (controversial evidence, of course) of "space bacteria" has also been found whenever and wherever anyone carefully looked for it:
http://www1.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/cms.dll/articleshow?art_id=4476520&sType=1http://xxx.lanl.gov/ftp/astro-ph/papers/0310/0310120.pdfhttp://www.panspermia.org/kissel.htmhttp://www.panspermia.org/marslife.htmhttp://www.panspermia.org/hoover.htmhttp://www.panspermia.org/magneto.htmhttp://www.panspermia.org/zhmur1.htmhttp://www.panspermia.org/chiral.htmhttp://www.panspermia.org/dayal.htmTo me, the crux of this (currently inherently speculative) argument is what you deem most likely:
1) that matter spontaneously generated into an unfathomably potent and complex evolutionary system during the first few hundred million years of the Earth's tumultuous formation
OR2) that among (conservatively) millions of nearby planets, moons, other large terrestrial objects and even the denser potions of interstellar clouds over billions of evolutionary years and septillions of potential microbial generations, some microbial life form developed that was evolutionarily suited to space travel over long years in great numbers.
To me, the recently confirmed extremophilic characteristics of many varieties of Earthly microbes have been tipping the scale more and more in favor of the latter with each passing year.