As well, this will be crucial (and deadly against Bush) in the General Election should Dean win the Nomination.
ISU caucus poll: Dean leads with voters attendingWith nearly 45 days until Iowa Democrats head to precinct caucuses, support for the leading candidates differs among those who say they'll attend, and those who say they'll stay home.
According to a poll conducted by Iowa State University, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean leads among people who "definitely" or "probably" will attend the Jan. 19 caucuses.
Dean was the first choice for 28.5 percent of those people, followed by Rep. Richard Gephardt, who had 20.9 percent. Sen. John Kerry placed third with 15.3 percent.
Among people who "might or might not" or "will not" attend the caucuses, roles are reversed. Gephardt was the non-attendees' first choice with 27.5 percent. Dean earned 22.1 percent of those respondents.
"What actually counts is people who show up," said Robert Lowry, an associate professor of political science who contributed to the study. "Remember, it's still two months off."
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