Blanco/Landrieu versus Jindal/Terrell #'s

[jiacinto]

I am travelling and don't have time to do this. However, does anyone have a map that shows the county vote distribution between Blanco and Landrieu? Did they win the same counties?

I am just curious as to where they got their support and if Blanco won because of Jindal's race.

I want to test the hypothesis:

Blanco was able to come back and beat Jindal because his race played a role in his loss.

I want to test the null hypothesis:

Race had nothing to do with Jindal's loss.

My theory that I want to test is whether white voters lied to the pollsters the same way they did when asked about Ron Kirk and Harvey Gantt.

[dusty64]

1. Results.

Results from Landrieu's win
http://www.sec.state.la.us:8090/cgibin/?rqstyp=elcmp&rqsdta=12070214012601

Results from the Blanco victory.

http://www.sec.state.la.us:8090/cgibin/?rqstyp=elcmp&rqsdta=11150310012919

Terrell won 28 parishes vs. 12 won by Jindal, but recieved 676,180 votes compared to Terrell's 596,642. Some parishes were the same, but most different.

[jiacinto]

2. Ok

IT would be interesting to look into. I wish CNN had done Spatiologic maps so that I could compare.

[Jacobin]

5. Interesting note here

Livingston Parish is a sort of rural area being slowly swallowed up by Baton Rouge...Livingston Parish has been reputed to be a stronghold for the Klan for years, lots of pick up trucks, confederate flags (of late replaced by "blow up the Arab American flags")....

It went for Jindal.

Much too complex a situation to make race/ethnic/religious/gender generalizatins.

It is clear to me that those associated with Bush* are becoming less popular. I received a color flyer the day before the election with a big pull out pic of Smirk and Jindal together. Same tactic that lost Terrell the Senate race.

Looking at the returns parish by parish, it is about as you would expect. Baton Rouge/Shreveport areas and suburban New Orleans are RW. Rest of the state fairly evenly split with slight majority for Dems.
South Louisiana with French influence much more democratic along with Orleans Parish (New Orleans).

I think this same thing will play out in 2004 if the nominee is not (Kennedyized <I'm talking Kerry>)

[jiacinto]

6. Ok

But I wonder how Jindal did there compared to Terrell and Bush II?

[Jacobin]

8. Look at the links provided above for Terrell

Of course, Clinton won Louisiana handily both times.

[_Jumper_]

3. What % of the vote did Terrell get?

?

[jiacinto]

4. Same as Jindal

nt

[ShaneGR]

7. Why does it matter? You can't prove it had anything to do with race

Particularly because turnout was high (Meaning more blacks voted). AND, Blanco was French creole, so she did well in those areas.

Basically I think you're wasting your time.

[ScreamingMeemie]

9. Dupe

Please continue here:

http://democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=104&topic_id=718858&mesg_id=718858

Thanks,
MrsGrumpy
DU Moderator