Marist Poll: "Re-elect" Bush 38%--NO--44%

[CMT]

Haha, more people according to the Marist Poll would vote against GW Bush 44-38 percent. In April, 2003 it was 40-30 For re-electing Bush.

In test match-ups against REAL candiates, Bush has a slight advantage over Gephardt, Kerry, and Dean--Bush polls under 50% and a somewhat larger advantage against Lieberman and Gen. Clark.

Bush vs. Gep 48-43 for Bush
Bush vs. Kerry 48-42 for Bush
Bush vs. Dean 49-41 for Bush
Bush vs. Lieberman 52-41 for Bush
Bush Vs. Clark 55-36 for Bush

By 48-45 percent more people think the country is moving in "the wrong direction" in April, 2003 55-34 percent said it was moving in the "right direction"

Howard Dean leads among Dems for the party nomination:

Dean: 16%
Lieberman 12%
Gephardt 10%
Kerry 9%
Clark 8%
Sharpton 5%
Edwards 4%
Braun 3%
Kucinich 1%
Undecided 32%

www.maristpoll.marist.edu

[diplomats]

1. This results are encouraging

Gephardt, Kerry and Dean are 5-8 points behind Bush, which is pretty good for this point in the campaign. Clark trailing by 19 strikes me as really off, though, because no other poll has him trailing by anywhere close to that margin.

[uberotto]

2. This could possibly be explained by...

whether or not they give Clark's name as "Wesley Clark" or "General Wesley Clark". It is possible that some voters might not recognize him without the title of General.

Again, I don't know if this is what happened, but it is just a possibility.

[diplomats]

3. You could be right

[returnable]

7. Did not use "General"

According to Marist, they asked if the they'd vote for "Wesley Clark".

Other polls have indicated that Clark's numbers jump when "General" is included.

Certainly indicates that Dems are open to a military man in office.

Also indicates that the Clark campaign needs to work on getting his name out there more.

[NewJeffCT]

4. I'm a pessimist

After all, Dukakis had a huge lead over Bush Sr only 4-5 months prior to the election and Mondale briefly led Reagan early, too.

[Some Moran]

5. Mondale led Reagan?

No way...But then again, Atwater admitted that Mondale would have won had the elction been held just a day or 2 later.

[CMT]

6. According to Newsweek poll after Fritz choose Ferarro

Mondale led Reagan 48-46 percent.

[beyurslf]

11. I am curious

"But then again, Atwater admitted that Mondale would have won had the elction been held just a day or 2 later."

What happened a couple of days later that would have made such a huge shift in the vote?

[caledesi]

10. Yeah, but Bush I didn't have the Iraq albatross around his neck

among other things.

[flpoljunkie]

8. Dem race is virtually tied among top 5 vote getters and wide open.

The margin of error in the Dem candidate polling is +/-5.5% margin of error--with a full 32% undecided! Question was asked of 339 Dems or leaning Dems.

Only 23% of those questioned on this question were strongly committed to their candidate.

This means the Dem race for the nomination is esentially wide open at this point!

edited to correct typo error in #of Dems voting on this question.

[Renew Deal]

9. This seems strange.

The numbers here are completly different than anything we have seen before. No one even lose to Bush? That doesn't seem right. OK, so Kucinich is still at 1%. That's normal.