That's not censored!
Plus, it had a VERY Large "Confidence Interval." What that means is explained in the radio show I linked below, but basically what that means is this: Let's say the poll is for an election and the poll says one candidate will win with 55%, but has a Confidence Interval of 6%.
That means the actual result could be 58% to as low as 52%.
With this study, 100,000 Dead was the middle number, but with the Confidence interval the actual number could have been as low as 8000, and as High as 190,000 dead.
You should listen to the Radio interview that I posted a link to in a post above from "This American Life," I'm not going to repeat what I wrote above, but here's the show rundown and link:
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http://www.thislife.org/>
Here's the RealAudio link
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http://www.thislife.org/ra/300.ram>
What's in a Number?
10/28 (2005)
Episode 300 About a year ago, a study estimated the number of Iraqi
casualties since the war began. It came up with a
number – 100,000 dead – that was higher than any other
estimate, and was mostly ignored. This week,
Alex Blumberg revisits that study to look at the reality
behind it. In Act One he reports that not only is the
study probably accurate, but it says that most of the
deaths were caused by Coalition forces (despite concerted
efforts to avoid civilian casualties). In Act Two, we
hear U.S. forces trying to cope in the aftermath of some
of those deaths.
Prologue. We're a nation at war, but it hardly feels like it.
That contrast is especially jarring for people like Hannah Allam,
who just returned home to Oklahoma after two years in Baghdad
running the Knight-Ridder Newspapers bureau there. Ira talks
with Hannah, and Army Captain Chuck Ziegenfuss about what it
feels like to come home from a war that nobody's paying much attention to. (6 minutes)
Act One. Truth, Damn Truth, and Statistics. About a year ago,
a John Hopkins University study in the British medical journal
The Lancet estimated the number of civilian casualties in Iraq.
It came up with a number – 100,000 dead – that was higher than
any other estimate, and was mostly ignored. This week, Producer
Alex Blumberg tells the remarkable story of what it took to
find that number, why we should find it credible and why almost
no one believed it.
(The original Lancet study is online; free registration is required). (36 minutes)
Act Two. Not Just a Number. Captain Ryan Gist was given a
particularly tough assignment in Iraq: to build relationships
with a town where U.S. bombs had killed twelve innocent
people. But first he has to apologize to the families of those
who were killed. We hear the apology, captured on tape by
a journalist working in Iraq, and talk to Captain Gist about
what things have been like since. (10 minutes)
Act Three. What do we do with these numbers anyway? So if in
fact 100,000 Iraqis died because of the war, and that number's
a year old ... what do we do with that number? It instantly
brings you to all these imponderable questions about what's
worth 100,000 dead. In a way, this doesn't seem like a helpful
question to think about. So Ira turns to Nancy Sherman, who
writes about the military and its values. She's a Professor
of Philosophy at Georgetown University and was the= Distinguished
Chair of Ethics at the U.S. Navy Academy. She also wrote
Stoic Warriors. (3 minutes)
Song: "Somebody's Gotta Do It," The Roots