Goldman analysts disagree with theory that prices peaked in '05; see five more years of price hikes.LONDON (Reuters) - Already sky-high oil prices have entered a "super spike" phase that could last for four more years as global demand booms and supply growth slows, Goldman Sachs analysts said Tuesday.
"We disagree with what appears to be a growing consensus that crude oil prices reached their peak levels earlier in 2005," said the firm's Global Investment Research.
The analysts said oil demand remained resilient and supply growth lackluster, prompting them to keep their average U.S. crude price forecast for next year unchanged at $68 a barrel.
Oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange have averaged $56.59 so far this year.
The group also predicted oil prices could see 1970s-style price surges to as high as $105 a barrel during this period.
"With WTI oil prices on-track to average about $57 a barrel in 2005, we think the past phase will be remembered as the first of what could be a four-to-five-year 'super-spike' phase," their report said.
Goldman Sachs first mentioned a super-spike phase in March, five months before U.S. oil prices skyrocketed to a record $70.85 a barrel. Prices have since eased.
Supply concerns