By Paul Krugman
The New York Times
Monday 28 November 2005
Many eulogies were published following the recent death of Peter Drucker, the great management theorist. I was surprised, however, that few of these eulogies mentioned his book "The Age of Discontinuity," a prophetic work that speaks directly to today's business headlines and economic anxieties.
Mr. Drucker wrote "The Age of Discontinuity" in the late 1960's, a time when most people assumed that the big corporations of the day, companies like General Motors and U.S. Steel, would dominate the economy for the foreseeable future. He argued that this assumption was all wrong.
It was true, he acknowledged, that the dominant industries and corporations of 1968 were pretty much the same as the dominant industries and corporations of 1945, and for that matter of decades earlier. "The economic growth of the last twenty years," he wrote, "has been very fast. But it has been carried largely by industries that were already 'big business' before World War I. ... Every one of the great nineteenth-century innovations gave birth, almost overnight, to a major new industry and to new big businesses. These are still the major industries and big businesses of today."
But all of that, said Mr. Drucker, was about to change. New technologies would usher in an era of "turbulence" like that of the half-century before World War I, and the dominance of the major industries and big businesses of 1968 would soon come to an end.
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http://www.truthout.org/docs_2005/112805M.shtml(Come Clean disclosure): Actually, my primary reason for posting this here is to alert/remind DUers that Paul Krugman and others can frequently be found at Truth Out. Since the NYT had changed their policy, those articles are accessable on-line ONLY to paid subscribers. (I wouldn't mind paying a reasonable price for on-line access, but I'd have pay for the full print version!) Here's the Truth Out home page:
http://truthout.org/ Subscription is free, but like DU, is kept alive by donations.
pnorman