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*** Indictments ***
Definite: Rove, Libby, Miller Probable: Cheney, Fleischer, Rice Maybe: Bush, Hadley, Matalin, Hughes, Bolton
*** Charges ***
Perjury, conspiracy to suborn Obstruction of justice, conspiracy to obstruct Intelligence laws, conspiracy to violate intelligence laws.
*** Timing *** Friday afternoon 21 Oct 2005
From all we know about this case, consider how much more Fitz must know about it. That's why people are seeing this as a very big case.
Rove, Libby, and Miller are burnt toast. I don't see any way out for them. Color them gone.
The two biggies are Cheney and Rice. I think one could argue biggie charges against Rice. She might have been the one to tell Rove/Libby about Wilson's ID. If so, she's burnt toast also. Cheney is neck deep in this. He may be up for multiple conspiracy charges and obstruction of justice.
If Cheney gets indicted, it's very likely that Bush will also. The West Wing will want to protect him, but Fitz *knows* that he's been aware of the situation for over two years. He told the world that he'd cooperate with the investigation, but Fitz and everybody knows that that meant that there was going to be a cover-up. It's the cover-up that's gonna clobber Bush, just like in Watergate. Watch for a smoking gun.
I think many staffers are going to go down. Fleischer, almost for sure. Other possibles would be other WHIG members. I love the idea of spinmeisters Matalin and Hughes trying to spin their way out of perjury and conspiracy charges all the way to their prison cells.
Hadley better be watching his back. If Rice goes down, Hadley will likely also go down.
One person's indictment inevitably leads to others. Once we know Rove/Libby are implicated the rest of the picture is transparent. Cheney is connected to Libby. Rove/Libby are connected through WHIG to Rice and to other staffers. Fleischer is directly implicated. Bush gets it by helping cover it up.
Fitz might draw the line anywhere, though. He could stop at Rove/Libby with perjury and obstruction charges (very doubtful). Once he opens the door to conspiracy, others have to fall with Rove/Libby. That leads inevitably to the staffers and to Cheney. Once Fitz is there, he might as well go all the way.
Oh, and on Judy Miller. I think she cooked her own goose here. She's going to prison. She didn't have to. All she had to do was tell the truth. It's quite apparent that she didn't. Buh bye, Judy.
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