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With the election less than four months away, the poll found Kaine (D)with 38 percent of likely voters and Kilgore (R) with 37 percent. Last September Kaine, the lieutenant governor, trailed Kilgore, a Scott County native and former attorney general, by 5 percentage points.
According to the poll, voters who describe themselves as independents are always the swing vote in Virginia elections. The swing voters polled said they support Kaine over Kilgore by 37 percent to 28 percent, respectively. Kaine’s margin in this category is the result of Potts garnering 14 percent of independent voters, the poll analysis states.
Warner, the popular governor who is mulling a bid for the presidency, received high marks from those polled. Statewide, 74 percent of Virginia voters rated Warner’s performance as excellent or good. That number is up from 58 percent, the survey found.
Warner’s job performance rating is the highest Mason-Dixon has measured among the last six Virginia governors. The poll found that Warner’s popularity likely will be advantageous for Kaine.
Seventy-three percent of voters said Virginia is "on the right track," while 56 percent said they are "generally satisfied" with the state’s leadership. Warner’s tax reform plan, a controversial proposal that raised some taxes in the commonwealth and was opposed by Kilgore, had the approval of 57 percent of the voters, according to the poll. The satisfied voters back Kaine over Kilgore, the poll states.