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1) No credible source exists, not even Jackson himself, who claims that an attack on the airfield by NATO was in the offing. Even the "unnamed sources" you cite say only that the Russians "could" have been evicted. That is true, and technically a big fight "could" have erupted as well. Last I checked, "could" did not equal "would" or even "should."
Then why did Jackson say he would NOT start WWIII for Clark? he OBVIOULSY thought there was agreat chance of combat with the Russians, otherwise there would be no point to saying this. The fact is, the plan called for a helibourne assault on the airfield backed by helicopter gunships.
No matter how the drop occured whether it be at some distance (which would NOT prevent the Russians from moving in their direction to block them) or whether it was right on the runway, such an assault is a threatening maneuver. The Russians wouldn't know whether the plan was just to set up a presence or if it was in fact an actual attack on them. They would have to react to the worst possible threat - an attack - otherwise they would risk being wiped out. If you think ANY combat formation listens to enemy radio broadcasts you are sorely mistaken. How could they know it wasn't a trick?
2) You still don't seem to understand or acknowledge the importance that, oh, a whole wing of helicopters would play in helping the Russians decide whether or not they should attack. You seem to be under some delusion that the Russians are either suicidal or stupid, to risk fighting in such a situation, when they ALSO knew that any conflict they initiated would become an enormous diplomatic blowup. All the helicopters had to do was play watchful sentry until the paratroopers moved into position and set up camp. Then the presence is established, and the two sides stare balefully at each other, just like they did a couple of days later.
And you seem unable to comprehend that Russians may not be cowards. They were given an order, and they would have carried it out, even if it meant fighting for it. Just because YOU think helicopters are so scary does not mean that EVERYONE thinks they are. As you say later in your post, helicopter gunships are most dangerous to vehicles. Dismounted infantry is another story altogether, and dug in dismounted infantry is yet another.
If a NATO force had suddenly appeared, they would have to assume hostile intent (not least because of those very helicopters) and would have to make a quick decision - fight or give up. Trained combat soldiers are trained to make the FORMER choice. It is nothing but arrogance to assume that only Americans make futile last stands like the one described in Black Hawk Down. If threatened, the Russians would have fought, and the plan called for threatening them quite strongly. Hell, they may have even won. Who knows?
3) As I mentioned before, parallel planning is important. There was no guarantee that Hungary would agree to deny airspace to the Russians. There was no guarantee that Russia would abide by that denial. General Clark is a big believer in parallel planning, and that makes sense: it's just unwise to put all of your eggs in one basket.
So NATO didn't control the skies over Kosovo? Are you seriously trying to tell me that Russian transports could have flown into that airspace unopposed? If the Russians had tried it they could have easily been shot down. In fact one of the reasons they asked Hungary to deny the airspace was to avoid a confrontation of this manner. Why avoid confrontation in the air but not on the ground? As I said it was sensless, and Jackson pointed this out.
4) The 200 Russian troops were undoubtedly deployed in as good a defensive position as they could. But they did not have enough troops to physically assert themselves over the entire airfield. This goes back to the multiple approaches thing, and the ability of NATO to assert a presence.
I don't know about that. They had APC's which could easily trasport them to any part of the field in minutes. If they had an idea that a assualt was coming, don't you think they'd redeploy to better face the threat? I do. What could NATO have done to stop it? As I said, the only choice would be to open fire on them. Hell the Russians could just load up and begin threatening the paratroops back off the field, WITHOUT opening fire. What would happen then? Would the paratroops open fire to avoid being pushed off the field?
1) Of course I know that assault helicopters do not CARRY armored units. When I said my impression was that the plans had merged, I'm talking about a simultaneous approach, the armor by land and the helicopters and airborne by air. I'm still not conceding that the plans hadn't merged, but since it's not really an issue in controversy here, I let it go before, and I would have let it gone again, but for your snide comment about my knowledge of helicopters transporting armor.
And I already pointed out that the armour could NOT move across country without breaching the peace deal, which was already refused by Jackson. Why would he suddenly allow it after he had refused it before? No, the second plan was a purely airbourne assault. If the armour was going to move across country there was no need for the airbourne portion of the plan was there?
2) You are quite mistaken if you believe the mere "A" in "APC" qualifies a vehicle as traditional armor. APCs are considered mech infantry units, not armor; they are light-skinned and can't deflect much more than small arms fire. Helicopters would CHEW THEM UP. In fact, modern helicopters were MADE to destroy enemy APCs and, depending on the helicopter, even tanks (such as the AH-64 Apache, which has the powerful Hellfire anti-tank missiles).
I never said that APC's were "traditional armour". I said they were armoured troops. Mechanised troops are troops in trucks, armoured troops are troops in APC's. I think you will find that all infantry are now considered "mechanised", while troops that have APC's belong to armoured formations. However, this is a silly word game. Whether they be mechanised or armoured does not matter. What matters is that compared to paratroops on the ground, an APC is armour.
Now, as for the helicopters, you have a good point, but once again, you must remember that the only way to "chew them up" is to fire on them, which as I said is what Jackson was trying to avoid. You can't claim that the threat of shooting them is enough to affect them - it isn't. They had a job to do, and they would have done it unless prevented. The only way to prevent them would be to destroy them. Stop thinking that Russians are cowards - they are not. They would have done their jobs just like the UK paratroopers, and they would have done it even if they were threatened.
That's because I and most people with a clue about military tactics don't need an article to figure out what the Russians' position was here: it was pretty piss poor. The article which you are so desperately clinging to (again, citing its "unnamed sources") didn't have any interviews of the Russians, it didn't delve into a tactical analysis of who held the upper hand. Yet it's still clear to any educated observer of the situation.
Upper hand? Once again, you assume the Russians are cowards and would just throw down their weapons at the sight of a superior force. This is NOT a reasonable assumption. You also assume that they did not have adequate air defence - ie SAMs - and that is also not very reasonable. The Russian may have lost the battle - note I said MAY - but they would have given the paratroops a very bloddy nose, and they also would know that it was NOT in the best interests of NATO to fight them.
You see, you seem to forget the Serbs in all this. The Russians may have been outnumbered, but they were surrounded in the countryside by Serb forces, and all that needed to happen is for Russia to offer support to the Serbs in return for Serb intervention at the airfield, and things could have been very different. For all we know, that support was already arranged.
Once again, you are assuming an attack was in the offing, and that is a completely unsupported assumption. Not even Jackson claims that. It's because there was no plan to attack by NATO.
Not at all. Jackson saw the potential and refused the mission. It seems HE thought that this could very well turn into an attack, so why do you deny it? He was there, you weren't.
Since you don't appear to have read what I wrote, I'll repeat myself: parachuting on top of the Russians would have been retarded, tactically stupid, and unnecessarily confrontational. You drop on the outskirts, out of range, and quick march in with helicopter support.
If it makes you feel better, however, you can continue insisting on your point-of-view, despite your lack of evidence supporting it, and the lack of even a modicum of tactical sense associated with your plan.
So they were going to drop the paratroops into Serb held territory, tn breach of the peace deal? And the Russians were just going to sit there and let them march on to the airfield? Are you nuts?
You talk a good game, but you have NO IDEA what the reality on the ground was, do you? The ONLY way the mission would be successful is to put the troops ONTO the airfield so that the Russians would have to push them off. If they weren't on the airfield, the Russians could just redeploy in their APC's and prevent them from even getting on the field.
Sigh. I haven't contradicted myself at all. The helicopters are a menacing, overwhelming presence in that situation. It is precisely that strength which would have dissuaded the Russians from initiating an attack.
Yes, you did. You claimed that the helicopter gunships were NOT a threat of force, then claimed that the threat of force provided by the gunships would force the Russians to back down. In fact you're doing it again.
There was no real element of surprise possible here; once the helicopters were sighted and/or heard, the Russians would have been ready. Accordingly, there is no downside to radioing ahead, once they were in the area already. They would already know they were coming. And again, the Russians would not have started a fight that: a) would have resulted in a huge international incident; and b) they would have lost very badly.
Oh, ok. You have just invalidated the entire point of helibourne assaults (surprise), but I believe you. Perhaps you could tell Clark and the rest of the US (and other nation's) military so that they stop using crazy tactics that will get men killed for nothing.
The WHOLE point of a helibourne assault is surprise. The idea is that in the seconds between detection of incoming helicopters and the actual placement on the ground of the troops, very little preperation can be made by defenders. This means that you can plan the assualt to take account of current defensive employments and be reasonably assured that this will not have changed by the time you put the troops on the ground.
And, THERE IS a downside to radioing ahead. If you do so, you are basically telling the opposition what you are going to do and when. Not a very smart move if you wish to keep your troops alive.
Because the helicopters would have provided cover until the paratroops had a chance to deploy and set up base. Then they could have landed, with rotating air patrols maintaining cover.
And what would they do if the Russian mounted up in their APC's and drove into the middle of the paratroopers? Would they just sit there and let them do it? Or would they open fire because of the threat?
And you truly expect me to believe they were going to land helicopter on an open airfield with Russian troops there to shoot the shit out of them if they wanted to? As I said, are you nuts?
You like to throw up a whole bunch of hypotheticals in the hope that one of them sticks, don't you? There is no indication from anywhere that the Russians considered -- or even had ready to deploy -- large numbers of paratroops.
You're the one that claimed the Russians were going to use aircraft to reinforce their positions at the airport. Are you saying the Russians wouldn't use paratroops if the runway was blocked? You do know that the Russians trained for decades on how to take airfields by airbourne assault don't you?
But lets say you're right, and that there was no Russian paratroopers ready to fly in. In fact the same can be said for ANY Russian troops. There is no indication that ANY troops were ready to fly in in any form, so why the need to assault the field.
I see you have once again failed to address the real issue. What is the matter, have you no answer for it?
Let me ask you again. If the Russians at the airport were not a threat, and there was no indication of reinforcements coming, and even if they did they could not have entered Kosovo airspace without being shot down, even if they were able to cross Hungary without being shot down, then what was so important about getting those Russian troops off the airfield? Why not just surround them and negotiate with the Russians (which is what eventually happened)?
Can you answer that question? Why assault the airfield at all?
You can't answer it because you and I both know, and history shows, that such an assault was pointless and dangerous, and even if no combat had occured there was no reason to do it. So why risk even a remote chance of combat with the Russians? That is why Jackson said no.
Trying to ignore that simple fact does NOT help you or Clark. It would be far better, and much easier to convince doubters, if Clark simply said "I was wrong". Why is it so hard to admit mistakes?
Do you Americans expect presidents to be infallible? Personally I would prefer a man who makes mistakes but admits them and learns from them, rather than a man who denies he even makes mistakes. Bush is such a man, and we can see where that got us.
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