OAKLAND, Calif., Sept. 11 /U.S. Newswire/ -- For the first time since the
2000 elections, a major poll shows the country split evenly between former
Vice President Al Gore and President Bush. The same poll also shows that
half the voters in America have not forgotten the controversy of the 2000
election.
The results of the Sept. 5-9 Zogby poll show Bush with less than majority
support and only with the narrowest of margins over Al Gore, 48 percent to
46 percent -- a difference that's within the poll's margin of error (3.2
percent). Moreover, Gore leads Bush among independent voters by 47 percent
to 43 percent.
"More than two and a half years after the 2000 election and we are back
where we started," said pollster John Zogby. "The country was evenly divided
then and it is still evenly divided."
The poll, conducted on Sept. 5-9 by Zogby International for Draft Gore
(draftgore.com), also shows Gore easily leading all major contenders for the
Democratic nomination with 24 percent compared to 16 percent for Dean, 12
percent for Lieberman, 11 percent for Kerry, 7 percent for Gephardt, and 2
percent for Edwards.
"These results are stunning, considering that Al Gore is the only potential
candidate who1s been out of the limelight since last December," says Draft
Gore Chair Monica Friedlander. "The strength of support and staying power
Gore enjoys clearly indicate that he has an excellent chance of beating
George Bush in 2004. We're confident that results such as these will
persuade Vice President Gore to enter the race and lead the Democratic Party
to victory in 2004."
None of the other Democratic contenders could hold Bush to less than 50
percent in a similar Zogby poll conducted one week ago. Howard Dean, Gore's
closest competitor and widely considered the frontrunner among declared
candidates, lagged 10 points behind Bush (42 percent to 52 percent).
"Gore is clearly the most electable candidate," says Bill McCormack of Draft
Gore. "What's the 2004 election about if not winning? Four years ago at this
time Bush held a lead of more than 10 points over Gore, and Gore still won
the popular vote in 2000. Now they start even, and the undecided vote tends
to break in favor of the challenger. Gore is in a perfect position for
2004."
In the match-up against Bush, Gore received 77 percent support from
Democrats, 47 percent from independents, and 10 percent from Republicans.
-- COUNTRY STILL POLARIZED OVER 2000 ELECTION
Perhaps the most intriguing result of the poll was the almost even split on
a question never asked of voters before. The poll asked respondents whether
they agree or disagree that Gore would have been elected president had all
the votes been counted in Florida in 2000. Almost half, 46 percent , agreed,
and 48 percent disagreed (again, within the margin of error). A large
majority of Democrats (70 percent) and a majority of independents (50
percent) believe Gore would have won had the Supreme Court not intervened.
"Three years after being told to move on and get over the controversy,
almost half the country still believes that with all the votes counted Gore
would be in the White House now," Friedlander said. "This enduring belief
gives Al Gore a standing among Democrats that is normally enjoyed by
incumbent presidents."
-- COUNTRY BETTER OFF UNDER GORE
Asked whether the country would have been better or worse off under a Gore
administration, a plurality of respondents (37 percent) gave the nod to a
hypothetical Gore presidency. Only 33 percent said the country would have
been worse off, and 21 percent said there would have been no difference.
Both Democrats (64 percent) and independents (36 percent) feel Gore's
leadership would have been better for America.
Asked if they feel that Gore should run in 2004, a majority of Democrats in
(52 percent) said yes.
-- ABOUT THE POLL
Zogby International interviewed 1000 likely voters nationwide from Sept. 5
through Sept. 9, 2003. The margin of error is plus/minus 3.2 percent. The
poll was commissioned by Draft Gore 2004 (
http://www.draftgore.com).