Pre-election state polls from 2000?

[Toronto Ron]

Anyone have a link to state polls done in the weeks leading up to the 2000 election? Yes, I already tried a Google search; found nothing.

[featherman]

1. here's one from PA, Oct 31 2000

http://politics.fandm.edu/pres2.htm

"In addition, the October 31 Keystone Poll, with Bush at 43 and Gore at 42 percent, shows a remarkable Bush turnaround in the state, and either candidate now can win Pennsylvania's 23 electoral votes".

Gore won by +4

[featherman]

2. Florida - Oct 31, 2000

"BERNARD SHAW: And Bush felt the need to swing through Florida, where his brother is governor and where a new poll shows he's leading Gore by five points.

TOM BROKAW: But another poll by the American Research Group shows Gore up by four points in Florida.

TERENCE SMITH: That's all in a day's reporting of polling."

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/media/july-dec00/polls_10-31a.html

[featherman]

3. Ohio - October 28, 2000

http://www.enquirer.com/editions/2000/10/28/loc_poll_sees_firm_lead.html

"Al Gore's effort to win Ohio's 21 electoral votes has become a steep hill, according to a new Ohio Poll that shows George W. Bush's lead is up to 8 percentage points.

The poll, conducted by the University of Cincinnati's Institute for Policy Research, shows the Republican with 50 percent, Mr. Gore with 42 percent, and Green Party candidate Ralph Nader with 4 percent. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. The poll, conducted Oct. 18-25 among 666 likely voters, also shows that with less than two weeks to go before the election, there is almost no such thing as an undecided voter left in Ohio."

(Bush won by 4%)

[featherman]

4. I could be wrong but my working assumption is that the DEM

candidate generally performs about 3-4% above polling estimates. Presume that this is because DEMS are underpolled for internal reasons having to do with age, time of day, etc. as well as the assumption that GOP will are more motivated and will have higher % turnout. Late breakers are a factor in this as well although this generally favors the challenger (Reagan v. Carter for example).

[Toronto Ron]

5. That's about what I figure too

, which is why I asked about polling in 2000. Thanks for the findings.