Here's why you can't trust polls!

[dubyaD40web]

Taken from CNN.com on 10/27/2000:

CNN/Time poll: Bush holds edge

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Republican presidential nominee George W. Bush holds a 49-to-43 percent edge over Democratic rival Al Gore in the latest CNN/Time poll, conducted Wednesday and Thursday.

The poll of 2,060 adult Americans, including 1,076 likely voters, has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points and is thus in essential agreement with a CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll also released Friday. That poll gives Bush a 52 percent-39 percent edge over Gore. More important, both polls show the same snapshot of the current state of the presidential campaign: a solid advantage for Bush.


ABC News and The Washington Post both have daily tracking polls today putting the race at 48 percent for Bush and 45 percent for Gore. The latest Reuters/MSNBC/Zogby tracking poll has the contest at 45 percent for Gore and 43 percent for Bush.

Although Bush has an edge in the presidential race, that has not trickled down to the congressional level. Forty-six percent of likely voters would currently vote for the Democratic congressional candidate in their district; 45 percent would currently pick the GOP candidate. One reason may be that some portion of voters would prefer a divided government.

</snip>
http://www.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/stories/10/27/cnntime.poll/


Don't you find if funny that W held a good lead just days before the election and Gore ended up winning the popular vote?

[Hubert Flottz]

1. Just goes to show you that CNN was a GOP party organ then!

Just like it is now! I wish Ted Turner still owned it!

[displacedtexan]

2. And the half million more Gore votes don't include...

the millions of disenfranchised voters, either.

This is why "Likely voters" are a crock this year! The only way Bush* can be ahead is by polling them.

"Likely voters" also don't include the millions of newly registered voters.

[dubyaD40web]

7. I've been saying that all year.

There are TONS of people registering to get W out of office.

[LisaLynne]

3. Good point.

[Love Bug]

4. Can't go by polls

1. Most national polls (at least the fair ones) reflect the popular vote. Because presidents are chosen by electoral votes, only polling data from the swing states have any relevance.

2. Jesse Ventura was polling in third place the day he won the election for governor of Minnesota. Why? because the media thought he was a joke and who ran the polls? Why, the local media, of course. I recall watching the returns on TV and the talking heads were actually laughing when they announced Jesse had won.

3. I think the only true value polls have is in demoralizing the supporters of the underdog and possibly encouraging undecided voters to vote for the front runner because the perception is he is going to win anyway.

Just my $.02 worth! :-)

[Jack_Dawson]

5. Schweet!!!

Great post. It's called young people.

[FlaIndie]

6. I didn't find it funny.

Didn't stop * from being selected.