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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 07:09 PM
Original message
Predict "October Surprise" Date...
The reports about bin laden's "arrest" being close is making my :tinfoilhat: blink. just for kicks, guess when it might happen...

I say right in the middle - October 15th
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Shoeempress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 07:11 PM
Response to Original message
1. The Friday b4 election, Have the paper all weekend and no time
for JFK to respond.
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 07:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. that would be too obvious...
but there probably are people dumb enough to fall for it.
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greekspeak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:29 PM
Response to Reply #5
14. They get away with less already
The media will have a field day with it and make Shrub third only to Washington and Lincoln.
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Shoeempress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 08:15 AM
Response to Reply #5
18. No sh*! , How can such an incompetent boob have double digit approval
ratings
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walldude Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 07:11 PM
Response to Original message
2. A llittle too far away,
I'm going with around the 23rd. 2 weeks leaves too much time for it to backfire...
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lil-petunia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 07:12 PM
Response to Original message
3. too late. it starts earlier and more often.
first weakened for the first jab,
frist play on the second week
hastert and a new discovery on the third
Bin laden in chains the third,
then some NEW ACCORD THAT WILL CREATE PEACE IN ISRAEL AND IRAQ the last weekend.
without facts or proof.

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bigwillq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 07:12 PM
Response to Original message
4. May 8
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homelandpunk Donating Member (787 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 07:35 PM
Response to Original message
6. Poppy uses CIA doctors to make Babs die of "disease" so chimpy can get
Edited on Sat Sep-04-04 07:36 PM by homelandpunk
the sympathy vote.
Date: at the midnite hour.

<edited to include "date">
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atre Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 07:45 PM
Response to Original message
7. Amazing thing
Edited on Sat Sep-04-04 07:46 PM by atre
It never ceases to amaze me how many ardent Bush supporters I've met have an unwavering belief that Bush will pull an October Suprise out of his hat to seal the election? How can people support someone they believe will engage in massive deception of the American people for political purposes?

Has anyone else had similar experiences?
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ck4829 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. Yes, I myself had seen this on another site
I forget the location, but the guy who worte the suff for the site said that if Bush was hiding bin Laden and he was going to bring him out before the election, he said he wouldn't mind.
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Snotcicles Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 11:03 PM
Response to Reply #7
17. Yes
and they talk about morals.
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sffreeways Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 07:52 PM
Response to Original message
8. October 1st or 3rd n/t
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 08:55 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. too early, the presidential ass kissing would die down by election day. nt
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Andy_Stephenson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
10. My Birthday
10/14

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POAS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 09:36 PM
Response to Original message
12. I say
Just before the debate on October 13th which is supposed to focus in foreign policy.
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nefarious Donating Member (132 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:04 PM
Response to Original message
13. They cannot capture Osama bin Laden
If there is a terrorist strike in America after bin Laden is shown incarcerated, where will the crooked finger of blame point?

Will it be mission accomplished for the Bush junta, or will they identify a new emerging threat from the Iranian bad guys?

Any way you slice it, the American public will have a hard time understanding why Osama bin Laden was not behind it, and why George "Protector" Bush* and his gang of threat eliminators failed us again.
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ipsofacto Donating Member (2 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:43 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. U.S. Near Seizing bin Laden, Official Says
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20040904/D84T2OUO0.html

ISLAMABAD, Pakistan (AP) - The United States and its allies have moved closer to capturing Osama bin Laden in the last two months, a top U.S. counterterrorism official said in a television interview broadcast Saturday.

"If he has a watch, he should be looking at it because the clock is ticking. He will be caught," Joseph Cofer Black, the U.S. State Department coordinator for counterterrorism, told private Geo television network.

Asked if concrete progress had been made during the last two months - when Pakistan has arrested dozens of terror suspects including some key al-Qaida operatives - Black said, "Yes, I would say this."

Black, who briefed a group of Pakistani journalists after talks with officials here Friday, said he could not predict exactly when bin Laden and other top al-Qaida fugitives would be nabbed.


(AP) Joseph Cofer Black smiles to cameras as he arrives at Ankara's Esenboga airport in this Oct. 1,...
Full Image


"What I tell people, I would be surprised but not necessarily shocked if we wake up tomorrow and he's been caught along with all his lieutenants. That can happen because of the programs and infrastructure in place," he told Geo.

Bin Laden and his top associate, Ayman al-Zawahri, are believed to be hiding some place along the rugged border between Pakistan and Afghanistan. Officials have divulged no solid intelligence about bin Laden's precise whereabouts, and it's not clear if they have any.

Pakistan is a key ally of the United States in its war on terror, and Black's visit comes weeks after Pakistani security forces captured Ahmed Khalfan Ghailani, a Tanzanian wanted for the 1998 U.S. embassy bombings in east Africa, and Mohammed Naeem Noor Khan, a Pakistani computer expert allegedly linked to al-Qaida operatives around the world.

The arrests led to a terror warning in the United States, and arrests in Britain and the United Arab Emirates.

Black attended a meeting of the Pakistan-U.S. Joint Working Group on Counterterrorism and Law Enforcement in Islamabad on Thursday and Friday.

During the talks, Pakistan asked U.S. officials for more helicopters, surveillance and communications equipment to help Pakistani forces guard border areas near Afghanistan "more efficiently," a Pakistani official at the talks said.

"We got a positive response from the American officials," said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Pakistan has deployed about 70,000 troops along the Afghan border and conducted several military operations this year in its lawless and largely autonomous tribal regions against al-Qaida suspects and their local supporters.

Black hailed Pakistan's efforts in counterterrorism - despite criticism from Western officials who say that elements of the former ruling Taliban regime in Afghanistan still operate inside Pakistan.

"In terms of national programs and effectiveness, I would put Pakistan up against anyone else ... If you look at the arrests they have made, the information they have developed and the lives that have been saved, Pakistan is doing a great job," he said.

He added, however, that, "you can always do more."
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Moderator DU Moderator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #15
20. ipsofacto
Per DU copyright rules
please post only four
paragraphs from the
copyrighted news source.


Thank you.


DU Moderator
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Snotcicles Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:44 PM
Response to Original message
16. I say next saturday
9/11 What do ya think?
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Nimrod Donating Member (999 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 08:21 AM
Response to Reply #16
19. They'd have to get a good story written
They'd have to "catch" him while he was in the process of perpetrating another attack. Otherwise, too obvious. Americans are stupid as hell, but I'd like to think they're not quite THAT stupid.

I'm voting right about the middle of October, maybe a hair past. Gotta give him JUST enough time to cockstrut around for a few weeks, but not enough time for it to be uncovered that the "capture" was scripted and choreographed.
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Dangerman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 02:24 PM
Response to Original message
21. Allow Hallow's Eve, perhaps?
Edited on Sun Sep-05-04 02:25 PM by Dangerman
(/sarcasm)
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Morning Dew Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 02:31 PM
Response to Original message
22. 10/27 Wed. 2 full news days left in the week, followed by Tues. election
Then on the 3rd we'll find out it was an Osama double.
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genius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
23. Bush will hit CA on an appropriate occasion to get large crowds
The last major baseball game in CA (if there is one in late OCT or Nov 1). I'm expecting Bush to hit the Halloween celebration in North Hollywood. A lot of gays and liberals attend it along with others in massive numbers and he can kill his enemies and steal four more years with one bomb. If it hits there, we'll know it's Bush.
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Citizen Daryl Donating Member (693 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 04:22 PM
Response to Original message
24. "Bush announces WH thwarted a terrorist assassination attempt on Kerry."
Because they're just that evil.
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Cat Atomic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 04:42 PM
Response to Original message
25. There was a betting pool here at DU about this long ago.
Edited on Sun Sep-05-04 04:42 PM by Cat Atomic
I believe my date back then was October 10th or so.
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 05:01 PM
Response to Original message
26. Hurricane hits NYC on 10/30 and wipes out Democratic neighborhoods.
Bush wins NY and election. Category 4 tinfoil hat. :tinfoilhat::tinfoilhat::tinfoilhat::tinfoilhat:
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Bjornsdotter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-05-04 05:31 PM
Response to Original message
27. Oct 17th n/t
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