http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A34914-2004Aug2.html?referrer=email<snip>
The new poll shows Kerry now claims the support of 50 percent of all registered voters, compared with 44 percent for Bush, with independent candidate Ralph Nader at 2 percent. On the eve of the convention, Bush led Kerry 48 percent to 46 percent.
Among those most likely to vote, the race is tighter: Kerry holds a 2-point advantage over Bush in the current poll.
By historical standards, Kerry's post-convention bounce is modest, at best -- a fact that set off a debate between his and Bush's campaign advisers. The Bush team said Kerry's failure to gain more significant ground from his national convention puts him at a serious disadvantage for the fall, while Kerry advisers said the electorate is already so polarized and partisans so energized that there was far less chance for a big bounce this year.
Bush expects a bounce of his own from the GOP convention at the end of this month, and his advisers said before the Democratic convention their goal was to bring the race back to even by the time their convention ends.