TIA's Prediction of tommorrow's Rasmussen poll numbers

[TruthIsAll]

Date Bush Kerry
May 4 42 48 <<<<< just wait and see.

May 3 43 46
May 2 45 45
May 1 46 45
Apr 30 45 45
Apr 29 44 46

[NMDemDist2]

1. sounds right to me n/t

[Teaser]

2. Are you working from estimated daily data?

Just out of curiousity...

[billybob537]

3. Lookout

Chimpy's losing his grip! Whats with McCain is he about to defect?

[lancdem]

4. I know it's months before the election

but it is still interesting to keep track of Rasmussen. One of the stats that gets underreported here is how the Dems have a healthy lead in the generic ballot in that poll.

[Lex]

5. And the Dems seem mighty darn motivated to vote

this time.

That can't be factored in numerically either.

[whistle]

6. Those poll numbers add up to only 90%....

...are the others undecided? Come November 2, those undecideds will vote one way or the other, or just stay home.

How many people are expected to vote on November 2 I wonder?

[lancdem]

7. Some are undecided

and others say they'll vote for someone else. (Nader is not in their poll.)

[RoyGBiv]

9. Latest poll...

Has 5% "undecided" and 5% "other."

Unlike some polls, the Rasmussen poll doesn't limit your options for a response. The top two responses rarely add up to 100%.

[Robbien]

8. If TIA says it, then the money is in the bank.

TIA knows the numbers.

[TruthIsAll]

10. Thanks, but....after all, its only a prediction.

But an educated one.

[seabeyond]

11. predicting a poll predicting an election

bah ha ha ha

[liskddksil]

12. You could very well be correct

The fact that Kerry went from tied to up by three in one night could mean the beggining of a positive trend.

[muriel_volestrangler]

13. it was Bush 43, Kerry 46 again (nt)