Must Read: Undecided voters go BIG to the challenger

[TruthIsAll]

Good news for Kerry

http://www.socastee.com/all_politics/incumbent_races.htm

(Nick Panagakis, a member of the National Council on Public Polls, is president of Market Shares Corporation, a marketing and public opinion research firm headquartered in Mt. Prospect, Ill. This article appeared in the February 27, 1989 edition of The Polling Report.)

How will undecideds vote on election day? Traditionally, there have been two schools of thought about how undecideds in trial heat match-ups will divide up at the ballot box. One is that they will break equally; the other, that they will split in proportion to poll respondents who stated a candidate preference.

But our analysis of 155 polls reveals that, in races that include an incumbent, the traditional answers are wrong. Over 80% of the time, most or all of the undecideds voted for the challenger.

The 155 polls we collected and analyzed were the final polls conducted in each particular race; most were completed within two weeks of election day. They cover both general and primary elections, and Democratic and Republican incumbents. They are predominantly from statewide races, with a few U.S. House, mayoral and countywide contests thrown in. Most are from the 1986 and 1988 elections, although a few stretch back to the 1970s.

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[calimary]

1. After today, I am ON MY KNEES, praying that this is correct.

Just watched Dana Milbank on MSNBC (avoiding CNN these days - their bias is just too upsetting) sitting there, all mild-mannered, about the pResident and vice pResident's appearance at the 9/11 "hearings." And he was just fine and dandy and talking in a most genteel manner about how he was hoping some 9/11 commissioner would leak a few things.

JEEZ!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

WHERE IS THE OUTRAGE???????????????????????

I called CNN and complained - ANYWAY. The guy said I was being mean. You know what? FUCK THEM ALL!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Gonna call MSNBC next.

I'm so mad I'm spitting! And they're OKAY WITH THIS???????????