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Swing-voters - Confidence Plunges

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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-13-04 04:37 PM
Original message
Swing-voters - Confidence Plunges
Edited on Tue Apr-13-04 04:40 PM by swag
From Ed Yardeni's (super-pro-Bush economist) latest weekly strategy alert at

http://www.cm1.prusec.com/yararch.nsf/(Files)/a_041304.pdf/$file/a_041304.pdf

(sorry - his URLs always get broken apart on DU - http://www.prudential.com/yardeni will get you to his homepage. This text is from the "Investment Strategy Weekly" titled "The Dollar Zone.")


"Depressed Independents. My colleague Debbie Johnson has found some interesting political data buried in the weekly ABC/Money Consumer Comfort survey. Data from the ABC/Money Consumer Comfort Index shows that it recovered nicely last year and early this year. In the past couple of weeks it dropped sharply, nearly wiping out the entire recent upturn. Data from the index for Republican respondents suggest that they are very happy. This does not hold true for the Democrats. The swing voters for Mr. Bush are likely to be Independent voters, and according to the data, their confidence just plunged to the lowest reading since 1993."
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displacedtexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-13-04 04:41 PM
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1. Not good news for the freak monkey.
We still have to win by a large enough margin to keep them from cheating again!

Register to vote!
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-13-04 05:13 PM
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2. Right, and www.tradesports.com has Bush at 58.3
not really low enough to reflect his true chances of winning (I think that should be at about 43, to reflect his approval rating), but still close to a long-term low for the "futures contract" (aka bookie odds expressed as a percentage) at the Irish glorified betting site.
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