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So We'll Go No More A Roveing: Karl's Kapers are Kaput

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Plaid Adder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 06:52 PM
Original message
So We'll Go No More A Roveing: Karl's Kapers are Kaput
Edited on Fri Mar-05-04 06:58 PM by Plaid Adder
I'm going out on a limb with this, but what the hell. I got a feeling about this. I think Rove has outlived his usefulness, and it will be all downhill for them from here on in.

Rove's genius has always been about managing perception. In fact you could say that's the essence of Rove: image matters, substance doesn't. It is better to look good than to be good; in fact, actually doing anything to help the country is just wasted time that could be spent refining your public image. It's cynical to the core; but it has worked very well for Bush for a long time.

In a lot of ways, Bush is the perfect product for Rove's packaging: vacant, passive, and apparently infinitely manipulable. I don't think it's an accident that the market has been flooded with Bush dolls, some satirical and some reverent: I think that's evidence that even Bush's supporters recognize on some level that his value to this administration is his ability to put on and carry off whatever costume they slap on him. His supporters no doubt like being able to remake him in their own minds according to what they want and need; his detractors find that unsettling. From Rove's point of view, Bush's greatest assets were a) the fact that he has no pesky authentic substance that might interfere with the processing and b) his ability to genuinely enjoy whatever role he was playing that week.

The smart thing about Rove's approach was the way it exploited the role that television now plays in forming the average American's view of the world. The dumb thing about it is that it does not work for anyone whose understanding of reality is informed by anything *other* than the media under Rove's control. Once the viewers at home realize that their perception _isn't_ reality, and start comparing the two, it's pretty much over for Rover.

Rove's entire strategy depends on a reader who is too naive, lazy, or ideologically blinded to ask for a second opinion. All of those photo-ops, and all the campaign ads unveiled thus far, assume an audience that has not been exposed to or retained any information that would counteract their 'message.' Bush's state of the union speeches work the same way: if you only know what he's telling you, it all sounds really good. They presume a reader who accepts what he sees on television as the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth.

Unfortunately for Rove, those readers are getting rarer; and that's because reality has gotten so ugly that people have started to realize that they need to find out more about it--not because they care, necessarily, but because their survival instincts are finally kicking in. Bush is insulated from the consequences of his actions; but we aren't, and the more jobs are lost and the more Americans die overseas the fewer naive readers Rove is going to be able to pitch his message to. And here is the beauty of that, my friends. Once an individual reader becomes aware of the gap between the reality and the Rovian image of it, *none of Rove's strategies work.*

This is why, in my opinion, "Mission Accomplished" was the turning point. That banner made a definite claim that had to be ratified by reality. Reality failed to play along. That was the beginning; and now that the weapons of mass destruction premise has been exploded, there are even more readers out there looking at these images with new cynicism. And so it does not matter how much money they spend or what new packages they come up with. They have blown their credibility, and now the very thing that used to work so well for them--the airy disregard for the facts of the matter in favor of an unrelated image--is going to kill them.

Consider the 9/11 ads, for instance. No doubt Rove realizes that this is a risk, what with the desecration of the dead and all; no doubt he realizes that this will only evoke questions about Bush's stalling of the commission and his strange behavior on the day in question. But they *have* to run on this. They have nothing else. They have spent three years pissing away the treasury, the economy, and everyone's lifeblood and they've got nothing to show for it. All they can run on is Bush's image; and unfortunately for them, all of their images now come attached to very ugly realities. Carrier landing? 500+ dead. Turkey in Baghdad? Still not safe there. Flight suit? AWOL. 9/11? WHERE THE FUCK WERE YOU?

So it's nto going to work; but they are going to do it anyway. They have no choice. Rove is a one-trick pony. This managing-the-image thing is *all he knows how to do.* He's never had to care what the reality was before. He's been making a career out of *not* caring. The fact that his strategy is no longer working will by no means tempt him to abandon it, no matter how desperate things become--because *he doesn't have a plan B.* So he is just going to keep making the same mistakes over and over until finally he and his crew are outta there.

They who live by the photo-op shall die by the photo-op. And when the photo-op boots their asses out the door in November 2004, I for one am going to be lovin' it.

Yee ha,

The Plaid Adder
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DrWeird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 06:56 PM
Response to Original message
1. I doubt it.
The only thing more these people hate more then getting things right is admitting that they're wrong.
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movonne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 06:57 PM
Response to Original message
2. Don't be too sure... did you see what they are trying to do to
MoveOn
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Cooley Hurd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 07:00 PM
Response to Original message
3. And the Plame investigation might, *just might* be pointing...
...right at Rove. Today's newsday story about the phone records of AF1 being subpoenaed by the DOJ says alot in that regard.
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eleny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 07:02 PM
Response to Original message
4. Well, * is pretty loyal
But they sure do look like the gang who can't shoot straight. Every bullet they fire seems to find their own feet. Surely they need someone new. But look what happened when their old press secy left. They got Mr. Putzy who only looks like a characture of himself.

So I have to hand it to you. Rove is not making the grade. Especially after the outcry about the very first campaign ads. What the heck were they thinking!
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MikeG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
5. The enemy of the conventional wisdom is the march of events.
Said by John Kenneth Galbraith.
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pscot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 07:16 PM
Response to Original message
6. Interesting post
Edited on Fri Mar-05-04 07:17 PM by pscot
But Rove has two arrows in his quiver, the second being the politics of destruction. If you can't convince people your guy is a heroic leader, you can always tear the other guy down. I think you're right about the first part, which is why I think we are going to see an extremely dirty campaign waged by the GOP.
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Plaid Adder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 07:34 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Oh, there's no doubt this is going to get super-ugly.
But one thing I think the Kerry campaign has proven, for better or worse, is that they have no problem with getting ugly. Sad as that is, I think it may be about to come in very handy.

C ya,

The Plaid Adder
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ewagner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 07:17 PM
Response to Original message
7. You're onto something here, I think
Rove has Bush* governing by the photo-op to be sure, and, as you correctly stated, the photo ops are waaaaayyyyy out of line with reality which makes them comical.

Now add Karen Hughes to the equation. Where does she fit in? Is it possible that Rove is Mr Strategy and Karen is Ms Image? Who is the one screwing up? Who will Dubya side with if he has to make a choice?

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Michael Harrington Donating Member (304 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-06-04 04:27 AM
Response to Reply #7
17. Speaking of Hughes...
Has anyone noticed that we've seen and heard a lot more from the charming Karen lately? Does this mean that they're pushing the panic button? Wonder what her opinion about gay marriage is?
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kskiska Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 07:30 PM
Response to Original message
8. There's a book coming out soon
about how *'s image is totally manufactured, and how they did it. I can't remember the name. I posted a Salon excerpt a month or so ago. I'm sure it'll get some coverage, and maybe someone will start asking questions.

What bugs me is that the media knows what's going on – the hand-picked audiences for each and every one of his "speeches" and events – to the point of having people used as props and dressed to the W.H.'s specifications, and even having videos manipulated to make the crowds look more diverse – but this is rarely mentioned in the media.
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childslibrarian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
10. Well said...
I agree with your analysis. But they could choose the route of destruction...or fixing the electronic election...
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avb7 Donating Member (95 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 08:05 PM
Response to Original message
11. Don't sell them short.....
They will spend well over $200 million between their own campaign and the one their advocates run, Rove will pinpoint every penny of it. Add in the right-wing bias of cable TV and talk radio and you have a very formidable opponent. The fact that a democratic candidate is given a chance to win this election shows how poor a job the moron has done. I firmly believe it is all about the base. If the GOP can get the rednecks, the Christian right and the hard core conservatives out on election day, we are in trouble. There is a large bloc of electoral votes out there that they do not have to fight for and Rove knows that. He will pour the money into the swing states and use the free media support they have to crucify Kerry. We can win, but it is going to be a very difficult task. Every Democratic vote in a swing state is crucial to the outcome of the election. Keep talking to your friends and neighbors about this corrupt administration and we might make a difference.
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ElementaryPenguin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 08:23 PM
Response to Original message
12. Great post, PA! I agree with you - the Rovian era is coming to a close!
And certainly not a nanosecond too soon!

:toast:
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lcooksey Donating Member (373 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 09:32 PM
Response to Original message
13. Very true
And I'd like to nominate your post for Best Subject Line *Ever*.
:yourock:

Hey, Karl, that's a nice hole you're diggin' there. Want me to find you a bigger shovel?
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Jade Fox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 09:42 PM
Response to Original message
14. There is something fundamentally very stupid about these people.
The guy who dubbed them "Mayberry Machiavellias" may have been on to that.
I think your analysis is excellent.

The 9/11 ads seem like a major blunder. Surely they could have evoked
9/11 more subtley than they did, and still get the message across. But instead
they choose the sledge hammer approach, something they are also doing
with the Gay Marriage amendment. They do seem determined to repeat
the same mistakes. Flexibilty is not one of their strong suits either.

Compared to Rove the passive, vacant Reagan's handlers were genius'.
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ex_jew Donating Member (627 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 10:05 PM
Response to Original message
15. The fact that Rush had to defend the 9/11 reference tells me
you're right ! For Rove, 9/11 is just another tool for manipulating people. He forgot the reality, which of course Bush etc. never experienced. Everything was just an opportunity for make-believe crusades (and manipulation of the public).

Having lost his grip on the situation, I doubt he'll ever get it back.
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Junkdrawer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-05-04 10:10 PM
Response to Original message
16. Rove is just plain awful at making his candidate look good...BUT
he's great at using dirty tricks to make his opponent look mean and sleazy. He's also not bad at damage control.
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