http://www.buzzflash.com/editorial/04/02/edi04012.html-snip-
"The official, who briefed on the condition that he would not be identified, said it is not certain the Army would be able to cut strength in four to five years from the 510,000-troop level authorized by Rumsfeld under emergency authority approved after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks. ‘It really depends on world situations,' the official said. ‘We think, as we're restructuring, we may be able to come down off the 510,000 over time. . . . But I don't know yet.'"
The article continues:
"The current plan for fulfilling both overseas commitments and restructuring calls for the use of "stop-loss" orders to keep all deployed units at or above 100 percent of authorized strength until new soldiers -- with a heavy emphasis on infantrymen -- can be recruited this year and next.
Currently, stop-loss orders, holding soldiers in the Army for between 120 and 180 days beyond their regular tours, have been used to increase overall troop strength to 493,000 personnel. Continued use of stop-loss will further increase troop strength to beyond 500,000 over the next five months, the official said.
But
the Army plans to discontinue the use of stop-loss orders in 2005, with 10,000 recruits entering the service, the official said."
Gen. Peter Schoomaker, the Army's chief of staff, also revealed last month "that he has ordered his staff to plan how the Army, now replacing its forces in Iraq with fresh units, would rotate similarly sized force into Iraq in 2005 — and again in 2006.
-snip-
What this means is that they are putting bandaids on the troop/Iraq problem until Bush's presumed re-election. They are planning to discontinue the stop-loss in 2005!
Then they will reinstitute the DRAFT on April 1, 2005 (see activation plan at http://www.sss.gov/perfplan_fy2004.html) with the first lottery on June 15, 2005. First possible date if COngress authorizes DRAFT trigger.
All you people age 45 and under be aware there will be a Medical Draft and a Skill-Specific Draft which will draft computer experts, linguists and engineers, as well as any other occupation the DoD has a shortage of. All 3.4 million doctors, nurses and specialists will also have to register for the Medical Draft by May 1, 2005.
There is now no way for Bush to avoid resuming the DRAFT, so other than a Democratic victory, we can expect the first 20-year-olds and the others would have their birthdays drawn on June 15, 2005.Who do you know who could be drafted in 2005? They would be 19 now and turn 20 some time next year...