|
Here are the results of the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll:
1. President Bush says the tax cuts he has signed into law have helped the economy and will lead to the creation of more jobs. He also suggests that more tax cuts might be a good idea. Agree: 4% Disagree: 94% No opinion/DK 2%
2. On Sunday, President Bush said the war to remove Saddam Hussein was a "war of necessity," not a "war of choice." Agree: 3% Disagree: 97% No opinion/DK 0%
3. Currently, many public opinion polls show Sen. John Kerry beating President Bush in a head-to-head general election matchup. Given how exciting it was when President Bush's father lost the 1992 election, would you rather Sen. Kerry keep this lead or not? Keep the lead and win: 45% Lose the lead but win: 50% Lose the lead and lose: 5%
4. Thinking of those same public opinion polls, does Sen. Kerry have the Democratic presidential nomination sewn up? Yes: 98% No: 0% No opinion/DK: 2%
This latest ABC News/Washington Post poll surveyed 400 leading political and Washington journalists. The margin of errors is +/- .5%. It was conducted 2/7-2/8.
As everyone knows -- and as those Democratic presidential candidates trying to catch to John Kerry are learning all too well -- free media is more important in determining who wins the White House than is just about anything else, and it is more important in presidential races than it is in other, down-ballot contests. And the broadcast media reaches more voters than anyone else. Which is why we still sometimes get our calls returned. The zeitgeist embedded in our poll results can be seen in every frame of video and every print word choice that is currently being produced about the presidential race. Since 98% of the people we surveyed have Blue state mentalities (even if they live in McLean and not Chevy Chase), the President's communications advisers have a choice: Try to change the poll numbers above, or try to win this election without changing them. What's it going to be, Ken, Karen, Mary, Terry, Nicole, and Dan?
|