Kerry's Legendary Lead

[kskiska]

“So Mark, how well is John Kerry doing?”

“Better than any challenger in modern times has ever been doing at this point in this race!”

“You wouldn’t know that from the press spin.”

(snip)

In the latest Gallup poll, John Kerry leads George Bush by five points among registered voters when Nader is included, and by 6 when he is not. How do we know just how strong a showing that is for Kerry?

Looking at the history of presidential races is one approach. No challenger has ever done as well against an elected incumbent at this point in the cycle. Every incumbent who won re-election had a double-digit lead over his challenger at this stage. Lyndon Johnson led Barry Goldwater by 59 points in the spring of ’64. Bill Clinton led Bob Dole by 14 points, Ronald Reagan led Walter Mondale by 17 and Richard Nixon was ahead of George McGovern by 11.

With just 44 percent support in both of the two most recent polls, Bush is in real and serious trouble.

Democrats should not be popping champagne corks yet, but our party should be delighted that Kerry is turning in a stronger performance to date than any challenger since the advent of modern polling.

more…
http://www.thehill.com/mellman/051204.aspx

[Failure]

1. That's great news...but I have just one question...

Why aren't *'s numbers in the shitter? not like 47-51, like 20?

just curious.


failure.

[Cocoa]

2. wow, that's news to me

this person is right, from listening to the pundits, all I hear about is how scared the dems are.

[rkc3]

5. We are scared.

We're nervous dumbya is going to cancel the election due to the current war footing we're one. Or Diebold is going to fix elections in states where their systems have been approved. Or the media is going to lean heavily toward dumbya early on during election day and West Coast goes to him. Or OBL mysteriously shows up in Hoboken. Or a plane flies into the Sears Tower.

We've got plenty of reasons to be afraid. The guy in office is nuts and his cronies will do just about anything to keep him there.

[lancdem]

3. I have been saying this for weeks

It's nice to see some documentation of it. :)

[charlie105]

4. Try this op-ed:

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/05/12/opinion/12KOHU.html

[Lou_C]

6. I think that Kerry's numbers are higher then what they are telling us

* is going to try and steal the election again this time but it's going to be a landslide for Kerry and the right wing press knows this.

[Larkspur]

7. What lead Kerry has is inflated due to those, like me, who will vote for

him, but either don't like him or despise him. Kerry is the 'lesser of 2 evils'.

[ConservativeDemocrat]

8. Inflated by 1% or less

...since with Nader in the picture, his lead only drops from 6% to 5%.

Now, if you were talking about Republicans who are fed up with Bush running up the deficit, you might be right about voters holding their nose to vote for Kerry. But those sorts of voters consider different things about the man to be "evil". And 'Fails to be exactly like Kucinich' isn't one of them.

Outside of the D.U. echo chamber, you are in the extreme minority.

- C.D.