Jitters as John McCain slips back in swing states
New focus on economic crisis shifted favour away from Republican candidate
By David Usborne in St Louis
Friday, 3 October 2008
Alarm is spreading through the ranks of the Republican Party over John McCain and his prospects for victory one month from election day. New polls show him slipping not just nationally against Barack Obama but also in nearly all the key battleground states that will decide the result. And Missouri, a traditional bellwether in presidential elections, is among them. Bedtime for Mrs Palin would have to wait.
A new CNN/Time poll shows Mr Obama one point ahead in the so-called Show-Me state, a statistically insignificant margin, but telling nonetheless; hitherto Mr McCain has been ahead in 19 out of 22 surveys of the state taken since last year. "Missouri is where it almost always is, and that's too close to call," said Claire McCaskill, a senator from Missouri and an adviser to Mr Obama.
The numbers in other swing states are more startling, however. The survey showed Mr Obama leading Mr McCain 54 per cent to 43 per cent in Minnesota; 51 per cent to 47 per cent in Nevada, and 53 per cent to 44 per cent in Virginia. A Quinnipiac University poll showed the Democrat overtaking his rival in Florida, 51 to 43 per cent, and Ohio, 50 to 42 per cent. Both states could be critical on 4 November. All the polls were taken in the wake of the first McCain-Obama debate last Friday night.
Partly it is the new focus on the economy that is clobbering Mr McCain. "The economic crisis has changed the dynamic that only three weeks ago favoured McCain," said Peter Brown, at Quinnipiac. "It doesn't mean that McCain can't win. It just means that history says he has a steep uphill climb."
more:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jitters-as-john-mccain-slips-back-in-swing-states-949721.html