http://www.slate.com/id/2163410/fr/flyoutWho'll Blink First?
President Bush plays chicken with the Democratic Congress.
By Fred Kaplan
Posted Tuesday, April 3, 2007, at 6:07 PM ET
George W. Bush faces a real predicament over the congressional challenges to the war in Iraq, and it is one entirely of his own making.
This is what happens when a president dashes to war on shaky premises and false pretenses; when he buys into a theory of warfare that promises instant victory with startlingly few resources; when he demands such iron party discipline that skeptics are hounded and oversight is banned.
What happens is that, when the theory proves wrong, the war goes bad, and the opposition party wins back Congress (mainly because the war's gone bad), skeptics rise to the fore, oversight returns, a few erstwhile stalwarts jump ship—and, if he wants to keep his war going, he has to put up a convincing case for once, he has to drop the bluster in favor of bargaining and persuasion.
The thing is, this president tends to believe that bargaining and persuasion are signs of weakness and appeasement, whether the foe across the table is Kim Jong-il or Nancy Pelosi. Condoleezza Rice finally got him to make a deal with Kim Jong-il. Will he do the same with Pelosi?
In the end, he may have no choice. When the House and Senate Democrats attached a timetable for troop withdrawal into the $96 billion emergency-spending bill that funds military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, President Bush threatened to veto the entire bill, thus saddling the Democrats with charges of abandoning the troops.
Such threats used to send shivers down what remained of lawmakers' spines—but, at least so far, not this time. House Speaker Pelosi told the president to calm down, acknowledge that there's a new Congress in town, and deal with it. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid upped the ante, saying that if Bush vetoes the bill, he will urge Congress to pass a more radical measure—sponsored by Wisconsin Sen. Russ Feingold—that would not only impose a timetable for withdrawal but start to cut off funding now.
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