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Kirkuk was historically a Kurdish city. After the fall of Saddam's government, even while Saddam was still on the run, the Kurds came down from the Zagros mountains in force, and started tossing people out of their homes. Well, not THEIR homes, the homes that the Kurds were driven from when Saddam put his Tikriti buddies up in Kirkuk to consolidate his power in that region.
Some of the Kurds allowed the people they were kicking out a week or two to get their shit together, but they charged them a heavy rent to stay. Others, whose parents and loved ones were killed when Saddam booted them out, used more violent means to shift the 'squatters' from their land.
If you recall, when this happened, the CENTCOM folks tried to tell the military personnel on the ground in the Kurdish regions to prevent the Kurds from entering the city. The Kurds, very politely, told the military to go fuck themselves. The Turks were on high alert at this time and ready to cross the border into Iraq. It was a bit tense and interesting, but our people working with the Kurds said to hell with getting killed over this--let them have at it. And they did!
Kirkuk is OIL RICH. It has some fine, productive fields. It's why Saddam ethnically cleansed the city of Kurds in the first place. What the Kurds did was go back and take what is theirs, and now they want it codified into law so they never get robbed of their oil again. If they can control those fields, they can eventually tell "IRAQ" to go screw themselves and establish their own nation of Kurdistan. Iran and Turkey would not want to see this happen, but the Kurds know what they want, and they have been working towards this since before the Sikes-Picot Agreement. They are patient, but they are persistent.
In the event that we abandon Iraq totally, they'll need that oil, and they'll need to have control over a contiguous area in order to consolidate power. There's plenty of cannon fodder available to them--the Kurds from Turkey, Iran, the former USSR, and even Syria will come to their aid if civil war breaks out. And let me tell you, a Kurd is worth ten shi'a fighters, and worth 20 sunni. They are tough muthafuckas--very intelligent, very hardy, and very, very determined.
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