http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5612975/site/newsweek/Think you’re paying a lot at the pump now? Just wait. In the past year, gas prices in some cities have already increased by 50 cents a gallon or more. And experts say they haven’t topped off yet. This week, the price of crude oil, the major cost component of gasoline, reached a record high of more than $44 a barrel—about $15 more than a year ago. By Labor Day weekend, a barrel could top $50—and filling your gas tank could cost as much.
Why the ever-escalating prices? Blame it in part on the fact that, well, we like to drive. Despite the rising costs, U.S. demand for oil and related products such as jet fuel and gasoline has kept on growing even as suppliers struggle to catch up. The second-quarter increase in U.S. petroleum demand was the largest in more than three years. And higher gas prices seem to have had little, if any, effect on Americans’ driving habits. “This is one of the biggest driving seasons we’ve seen in a decade—certainly the biggest since 9/11,” says Geoff Sundstrom, spokesperson for the Automobile Association of America. “Americans don’t curtail travel due to price of gasoline—especially summer vacations.”
Instead, consumers have compensated by cutting their spending back in other areas. In June, when gas prices last spiked at about $2 a gallon, personal spending fell 0.7-percent—the steepest monthly decline since September 2001, according to the Commerce Department, which released the data on Tuesday. Sales at the nation’s retailers also slipped in June by 1.1 percent—the largest decline in 16 months. (Auto and retail-store sales improved slightly last month; overall personal spending data is not yet available.) The economy overall grew at a somewhat slower than expected pace in the second quarter, too: the gross domestic product, which measures the value of the country’s goods and services, rose at an annual rate of 3 percent in the second quarter, down from a 4.5 percent rise in the first quarter. “Higher gas prices have some impact on consumer spending—it takes away from purchasing power,” says Henry Willmore, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital.