Zogby: Kerry maintains electoral college lead through convention....

[kevin881]

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=850

:)

[ClintonTyree]

1. I can't wait...............

to see how big Bush's* bounce is after the RNC and how well it's reported by the "Liberal Media" after he gets next to nothing.

There will be a virtual cornucopia of terror alerts that week!

[RamboLiberal]

2. There's a tiny part of me would like to see Kerry

win the electoral and Georgie to have just a tiny majority of the popular vote just to watch the Pukes whine for the next 4 years that Kerry didn't have a mandate.

But then I wake up, and since I don't trust the Pukes I want a landslide for Kerry in the electoral college and the popular vote.

Besides even after 2000 I wouldn't trust the Pukes not to dust off their plan to steal the election if Gore had won the electoral vote and lost the popular. Remember someone whispered that plan to a NY Daily News Reporter.

[Old and In the Way]

5. I want a 65-35 rout, 50 state sweep, and majority control of both

Houses. Then, the 1st order of business, I want a complete investigation and criminal punishments for these bastards who've been killing this country for 30 years while profiting personally with their foreign/domestic agenda. We have to excise these un-american problems now....so that future criminal-politicians will finally get the message that this country will not tolerate their kind putting their interests before this nation's business.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

6. I'm on board with that scenario

One thousand percent. :thumbsup:

[Window]

10. High Five

^5

[struggle4progress]

13. That will take hard work from our side: at this point ...

... Kerry can certainly win but nothing is certain.

Kerry, Bush Keep U.S. Contest Close
(CPOD) Aug. 3, 2004 – The 2004 United States presidential election remains too close to call, according to a tracking poll by Rasmussen Reports. 47.4 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, while 45.4 per cent of respondents would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. Support for Kerry grew by 0.7 per cent since the week ending on Jul. 22, while backing for Bush dropped by 0.5 per cent in the same period. In mid-July, Kerry held a 2.5 per cent lead over Bush in a head-to-head contest.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3639


Kerry Up, Bush Down In United States
(CPOD) Aug. 3, 2004 – Massachusetts senator John Kerry is holding on to the lead in the United States presidential race, according to a poll by American Research Group. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee, while 45 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. Independent candidate Ralph Nader garners the support of two per cent of respondents, while four per cent remain undecided .... Support for Kerry grew by two per cent in a month, while backing for Bush and Nader dropped by one per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3637


Kerry/Edwards Ticket Leads, But Without Bounce
(CPOD) Aug. 3, 2004 – The Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards continues to lead in the 2004 United States presidential race, according to a poll by CBS News. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic challengers in the election, while 43 per cent would support Republican incumbents George W. Bush and Dick Cheney. Independent candidate Ralph Nader and running mate Peter Camejo garner the support of three per cent of respondents.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3635


Post-Convention Poll Puts Bush Ahead
(CPOD) Aug 2, 2004 – George W. Bush is the leading presidential hopeful in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by CNN and USA Today. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent in the 2004 election, while 46 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.
Independent candidate Ralph Nader garners the support of two per cent of respondents.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3633



Bush Gains, Kerry Drops In Ohio
CPOD) Aug. 3, 2004 – George W. Bush could carry the state of Ohio in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 51.1 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 46.1 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. Independent candidate Ralph Nader garners the support of one per cent of respondents.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3644


Larger Lead For Kerry In Pennsylvania
CPOD) Aug. 3, 2004 – John Kerry could carry the state of Pennsylvania in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 52.7 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee, while 44.7 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. Independent candidate Ralph Nader garners the support of 0.7 per cent of respondents.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3645


Kerry Understanding, Bush Resolute For Americans
(CPOD) Aug. 3, 2004 – Massachusetts senator John Kerry holds an advantage in five positive character traits among United States voters, according to a poll by ABC News and the Washington Post. 52 per cent of respondents say the Democratic presidential nominee has a vision for the future. More respondents believe Kerry shares their values, is honest and trustworthy, and understands both complex issues and the problems of the average American. Republican incumbent George W. Bush leads Kerry in three positive categories. More respondents see the American president as a strong leader, who will make the country safer and more secure, and who takes a position and sticks with it.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3643


Kerry/Edwards Barely On Top In Iowa
(CPOD) Aug 2, 2004 – The Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards holds the smallest of leads in the state of Iowa, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic challengers in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 46 per cent would support Republican incumbents George W. Bush and Dick Cheney. Independent candidate Ralph Nader and running mate Peter Camejo garner the support of one per cent of respondents, while six per cent remain undecided.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3624

[lebkuchen]

3. I want to see Kerry win some of those southern military states

Write letters to those states all you military affiliated folk! Tell your story and hit Bush hard!

[papau]

4. That is good news - 48-43 is consistent with other national polls

Released: August 03, 2004

After a string of good news for the Kerry campaign stretching back to the selection of North Carolina Sen. John Edwards as the vice presidential running mate a month ago, he leads in the Electoral College by a 291-215 margin, the individual state polls shows. Four of the 16 states in the poll collection - with a combined total of 32 electoral votes - were excluded from the calculation because the races there are too close to call. Those states are Missouri (11 votes), Nevada (5 votes), Tennessee (11 votes), and New Mexico (5 votes). Mr. Bush won all but New Mexico four years ago. Mr. Kerry picked up ground in Florida, while Mr. Bush made up ground in West Virginia, Tennessee, and Ohio.<snip>

Pollster John Zogby: "Kerry had a good week and the numbers reflect it --especially in West Virginia, New Hampshire, and Florida. These represent his bump in the Electoral College. Meanwhile, President Bush has improved in a few states, notably Ohio where he has widened his lead. Ohio is a must win for Bush.

"These numbers track well with our national telephone sampling after the convention, where Kerry now leads by 5 points -- 48% to 43%.

"It will shortly be time for the Republicans to convene their convention in New York. The President will get a small bump, but -- like Kerry -- not a big one. There is just not enough give this year.”





Chart of ZOGBY'S RACE SO FAR:
............................ Aug. 3 Jul 26 Jul 10 Jun 20 Jun 6 May 23

President Bush.............. 215 .... 220... 205.... 285.... 242.. 218

Senator Kerry............... 291 .....275... 322.... 253.... 296 320

Please note that this chart reflects the race based on the premise that the 34 states not included in the poll will fall to the candidate of the same party to which they fell in 2000. This chart reflects only an estimation of where the Presidential race is, in part because the race in several states is within the margin of error. Four states are so close that their Electoral College votes are not included in this calculation. Those states are Missouri, Nevada, Tennessee, and New Mexico

[Star]

14. Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 328 Bush 210

This is the one I follow:






http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[samsingh]

7. Ohio seems to have moved bush's way

that's the state we should really focus on and turn Democratic.

[Kira]

9. why are we losing in Ohio?

I just don't get it. I really thought we would be ahead there.

[Judi Lynn]

8. Does anyone remember that in 2000, the Bush people

were preparing themselves for after-election battles, since they actually believed that Gore would have the electoral votes needed, and that George would win the popular vote?

They already had plans made to leap right into court. Wierd, huh?

[AndyTiedye]

11. They Also Planned to Take Florida's Electoral Votes by Legislative Action

If the Supreme Court hadn't stepped in, the Florida legislature would
have overridden the popular vote in that state and awarded the state
to Bush* anyway. They are ready to do the same this year if Diebold
and voter purges aren't enough.

[TheFarseer]

12. I like to fantasize that since there haven't been any polls

in Nebraska, that Kerry is actually way ahead and is going to pull the upset victory. No chance in hell but............