Kerry leads Bush in national poll of Hispanic voters

[NNN0LHI]

http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/politics/8354612.htm

MIAMI - Democrat John Kerry has a sizable lead over President Bush among Hispanic voters nationwide, but both sides could enhance their support among the critical constituency, according to a poll released Sunday.

The presumptive Democratic nominee held a 58 percent to 33 percent lead over Bush among voters who identify themselves as Hispanic in a poll for The Miami Herald. The survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted March 29-31 and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

Despite the advantage, strategists say Kerry must hold Bush's support among Hispanic-Americans to less than 35 percent to have a shot of winning the White House in November. Bush narrowly won the presidency in part by taking a sliver of the traditionally Democratic Hispanic base and drawing 35 percent of its vote in 2000.

"The Hispanic vote is borderline for Kerry and it's borderline for the president," said pollster John Zogby of Zogby International, which conducted the poll. "Nothing is going to make this one easy to predict."

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[Cooley Hurd]

1. Bwhahahahaha!

Bush's little immigration stunt, which was supposed to broaden his support with hispanics, didn't work. All it did was piss off his base.

Add this to his growing list of failures. :thumbsup:

[bluestateguy]

2. Not bad

There are more Hispanic voters in the electorate every day, so if we just get the same numbers as last time that will be enough. Winning Hispanics by 2-1 is satisfactory.

[rocktivity]

3. What's Spanish for

LYING CROOKED RELIGIOUS EXTREMISTS!

:headbang:
rocknation

[I Lean Left]

4. Probably meaningless

There are maybe two or three states where the hispanic vote could make a difference. Florida, New Mexico, and maybe Arizona. I don't think a 10 percent swing in either direction would affect the outcomes of California, Texas, or NY. Furthermore, the predominant hispanic group in Florida (Cubans) do not share much of an agenda with the ones in New Mexico (Mexican).

It is, and always has been, a mistake to think of hispanics as a single voting bloc. Many find it somewhat insulting.