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USA TodayA historic nosedive in state tax collections extended into the third quarter of the year, and only an infusion of federal stimulus money has averted widespread program cuts and worker layoffs.
Tax collections from July through September dropped an average of 8.3% from a year earlier in the eight states that release up-to-date monthly tax figures, a USA TODAY survey found. New York's tax collections fell 8.9%, despite an income tax hike earlier this year. States reporting partial third-quarter results showed a similar downward spiral in tax collections, including 13.2% drop in Arizona.
Federal stimulus money has protected states from making big cuts in the number of government workers, in aid to schools or in spending on Medicaid, the health care program for the poor. But most federal stimulus money ends in December 2010.
The result is a potential financial cliff for states. "It's hard to imagine what happens when stimulus money runs out," says Craig Thiel, a budget expert at the non-partisan Citizens Research Council of Michigan.
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http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2009-10-28-states-woes_N.htm
I think federal aid to states has been the biggest positive benefit from the stimulus. Without such aid, even more state and local employees would be laid off, and even more state benefits would have been slashed.