The Royal Institute for International Affairs warns that instability there could expand a zone of lawlessness from northern Kenya to Saudi Arabia.
...
The World Bank predicts that Yemen's oil and gas revenues will plummet over the next two years and fall to zero by 2017 as supplies run out.
Given that they provide around 90% of the country's exports, this could be catastrophic.
An unnamed energy expert is quoted in the report as saying that this points to economic collapse within four of five years time.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/7739402.stmAnd its population has doubled in the past 20 years, and is predicted to do so again in the next 40 years:
1989 1999 2009 2019 2029 2039 2049
Midyear population (in thousands) 11,986 16,859 22,858 29,129 34,916 40,375 45,328
source:
http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/country.phpAnd they're running out of water already:
SANAA, 16 August 2009 (IRIN) - Water and sanitation companies in Yemen are adopting unprecedented water rationing in major cities including the capital Sanaa, Taiz, Mukalla, al-Beidha, al-Dhalea and Lahj, local council officials said.
Urgent action is needed to halt depletion of the country’s water resources, Abdulqader Hanash, deputy minister for water affairs, told IRIN. Some 90 percent of available water is used for agriculture, leaving just 10 percent for industrial and household use, he said. Specialists have said before that 40 percent of Yemen’s agricultural water consumption can be attributed to the cultivation of Qat – a mild narcotic plant.
Hanash explained that the ministry was taking steps to stop the proliferation of wells which exacerbated groundwater depletion; it was also helping citizens to switch to less water-dependent produce and farming techniques.
“We expect the international community and donors to provide further funding to allow the ministry to implement its water strategies,” he added.
A report by the UN Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (UN-ESCWA) says Yemen is under “serious water stress”.
http://www.irinnews.org/Report.aspx?ReportId=85734ADEN, Yemen, Aug 24 (Reuters) - At least one Yemeni was shot dead and three wounded when protesters clashed with police on Sunday in Aden in southern Yemen where several districts have gone days without water, police and witnesses said.
At least two of the wounded were police, the sources said. South Yemen, formerly an independent state that merged with the north in 1990, has seen months of clashes over complaints of marginalisation by central government based in Sanaa.
http://www.reuters.com/article/africaCrisis/idUSLO506927