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BloombergBy Courtney Schlisserman
April 17 (Bloomberg) -- Confidence among U.S. consumers improved in April for a second month amid signs the longest recession in the postwar era may be easing.
The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment rose to 61.9, the highest since September, from 57.3 in March. The reading on expectations for six months from now improved. The index reached a three-decade low of 55.3 in November.
Recent reports indicate housing and manufacturing, two of the hardest-hit areas, may be stabilizing, supporting Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s view that the U.S.’s “sharp decline” could be slowing. An improvement in confidence may help sustain a recovery in consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy.
“We definitely appear to have bottomed out and may be stabilizing,” Michael Gregory, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto, said before the report. “As long as things aren’t getting any worse you get a little bit of a lift to confidence.”
Economists forecast the sentiment index would rise to 58.5, according to the median of 63 projections in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from 55 to 62.9.
“The economy is still weak but it’s not declining at quite the rapid pace it was,” said David Sloan, senior economist at 4Cast Inc. in New York, who had projected sentiment would reach 61, the second-closest forecast in the Bloomberg News survey. “We should probably see the report as a sign people are getting a little less pessimistic, and that’s the message we’re getting from a number of recent indicators.”
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