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Gallup Daily: Little Impact From Debate So Far - Among registered voters, Obama back up to 50% share

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RedSpartan Donating Member (736 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 12:04 PM
Original message
Gallup Daily: Little Impact From Debate So Far - Among registered voters, Obama back up to 50% share
Source: Gallup

PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking report from Tuesday through Thursday shows Barack Obama with a 50%to 43% lead over John McCain among registered voters.


Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/111241/Gallup-Daily-Little-Impact-From-Debate-Far.aspx





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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 12:06 PM
Response to Original message
1. Hard to believe the ghoul didn't lose any support from that
creepy performance.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 12:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. People's minds are made up.
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shadowknows69 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 12:28 PM
Response to Original message
3. Works for me
That debate was all about holding steady and running out the clock. If we go into November 4th with this spread they'll be hard pressed to steal it without us knowing.
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shotten99 Donating Member (478 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 12:33 PM
Response to Original message
4. Give it another 24-48 hours for the debate to sink in
We'll see it by then. The good thing is that Obama's numbers are holding steady.
49-51 is enough, but could always be better!
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Warren Stupidity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 12:34 PM
Response to Original message
5. As STUNT #3 Wears Out
Edited on Fri Oct-17-08 12:34 PM by Warren Stupidity
And people realize once again that the McCain Palin Campaign is a Serial-Failed-Stunt Hate Fest while the Obama Biden campaign is presenting reasonable clearly articulated programs and policies to help working families deal with the latest disaster from Bush Cheney and the Republican Party, Obama's numbers will climb and McCain's will fall.
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wowimthere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 12:56 PM
Response to Original message
6. GOP stupid pet tricks don't work in the 21st century
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larf007 Donating Member (9 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 01:03 PM
Response to Original message
7. WOW
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4lbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 02:10 PM
Response to Original message
8. Use the "Likely (Expanded)" numbers, they are the best indicators of what the results will be.
n/t
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RedSpartan Donating Member (736 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 03:13 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. I agree
And while the sampling is a bit smaller than the main poll, the undecideds are less, indicating that the lead for Obama is even more solid and less likely to waiver.
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tclambert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 02:19 PM
Response to Original message
9. I want to see the polls resulting from the 4th debate,
the stand-up comedy debate, a.k.a. the Alfred Smith Memorial Dinner.

It always seems to me that nobody wins the formal debates. They tend to equalize the opponents. They get equal billing, equal time, and everybody pretends their opinions deserve equal consideration. And the vast majority of the content comes straight out of their stump speeches.

The big 30-minute blocks of TV time Obama has purchased may affect the race. 'Cause that will all be one-sided. If McCain doesn't or can't match it, then just the fact of it happening makes Obama seem somehow more important.

Meanwhile, in electoral college news, RealClearPolitics has moved North Dakota into the toss-up column. How could this happen? That's one of those absolutely safe-for-sure red states, isn't it? Apparently not anymore. Three electoral votes don't mean much. But could this be the beginning of a wave of defections from the red side? According to RCP's electoral map, to reach 270, McCain has to win all the states leaning his way, plus all the toss-up states, plus at least two states that are leaning but not solid for Obama. "Steve" Obama only has to win the states that are solidly for him and two or three of the states currently leaning his way. But according to the polls, Obama has a small lead, within the margin of error, in most of the toss-up states.

I re-iterate my prediction that Obama will win by close to 200 electoral votes. That would be 369 to 169, for the arithmetically challenged. It's just a little bit higher than fivethirtyeight.com projects. They have it at 352 to 186.
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Doug 1973 Donating Member (17 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 03:18 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. LOL
If only that could be broadcasted all over
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Doug 1973 Donating Member (17 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-17-08 03:17 PM
Response to Original message
11. Yep
polls are insider baseball. No effect on the general public
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