Poll: Obama Opens 14-Point Lead On McCain

[dave29]

Source: CBS News/NY Times

(CBS) Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama is entering the third and final presidential debate Wednesday with a wide lead over Republican rival John McCain nationally, a new CBS News/New York Times poll shows.

The Obama-Biden ticket now leads the McCain-Palin ticket 53 percent to 39 percent among likely voters, a 14-point margin. One week ago, prior to the Town Hall debate that uncommitted voters saw as a win for Obama, that margin was just three points.

Among independents who are likely voters - a group that has swung back and forth between McCain and Obama over the course of the campaign - the Democratic ticket now leads by 18 points. McCain led among independents last week.

Read more: http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/10/14/opinion/polls/main4522273.shtml?tag=topStory;topStoryHeadline

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WOOOT.

[stopbush]

1. It is SO over for McSame!!

[Winterblues]

8. McCain led Independents last week

Now Obama has an eighteen point lead. If things change that quickly in our favor they could just as easily change back. Though for the life of me I can not see how..

[Alexander]

18. I don't think things can change back so easily. Here's why.

1. Most of the changes come from Undecided voters finally deciding.

2. A lot of people have already voted. I myself voted for Obama this morning. It's too late to change my mind. Same goes for lots of Americans.

3. The economy is not favoring Republicans in the slightest.

[WheelWalker]

33. Yep. The curtain has opened on the soprano's aria.

[bushisanidiot]

2. Good, but not good enough!!

we MUST win by a landslide because the repukes will be lying and cheating all the way up to and including election day. they will do everything they can to suppress the vote. voter rolls have been purged by repukes all over this country. we CANNOT claim victory until November 5th. DO NOT STOP FIGHTING FOR OBAMA JUST BECAUSE THE POLL NUMBERS LOOK GOOD.

[Porschenut1066]

7. Agreed keep working as hard as you can. We need a massive

victory just to win. Look at Mexico that was a dry run for this election. The right wing were down by at least 10% and they still
pulled out a "Win". It caused protests but the right wing still managed to get the presidency. We need as big a vote as possible to prevent Diebold's machines from declaring the republicans winners.

[Tandalayo_Scheisskopf]

3. Apparently...

The rabid and frothing wingnuts at McFeeb's and MooseBreath's swinging campaign soires are some of the best campaigners for Obama/Biden out there.

That said, if and when O/B get elected, a lot of these dead-enders are gonna go off and go off ugly.That is what they are being whiipped up to do and I doubt they will disappoint.

I really hope I get a job soon. One of the first things I have to get, as much as I don't want to, is a Mossy or 570, with an 18''-20" barrel and extended tube. And a bandolier. And a light. Shit.

[livelongandprosper]

4. I don't buy it. Act like we are 20 points down. n/t

[Kalifornia.Kid]

5. "Keep your eyes on the prize, hold on" - Bruce Springsteen

[louis c]

6. Well not like 20 points down

Act like we need just 10 more votes to win. Now, go get 11.

[offog]

20. Yeah!

Whatever you do, don't get over-confident or complacent. What with those wonky voting machines and vote suppression, you'll still need every vote you can get.

Best wishes from a Canadian fan. I have a friend, a retired teacher, who'll be heading out to Florida soon to help with the Obama campaign. A lot of progressive Canadians are rooting for you guys. I worry that a McCain administration will start another war and screw up the world economy.

[zogtheobvious]

32. Happy Thanksgiving (for yesterday!)

Is it a big celebration like it is here in the US? Do you guys eat turkey?

[skooooo]

9. That line..

..is from a very old song that predates Springsteen. Dylan sung it in 1962 and I'm sure it goes back further than that.

[Chovexani]

10. It was originally a gospel song called "Hold On" or "Gospel Plow"

In the 50s, a civil rights activist named Alice Wine reworked it into the song we know today.

[stlsaxman]

13. i just think it's fuggin' cool that so many here are up on thier music history!

we rock!

[Chovexani]

15. I'm a trivia nerd, I can't help it

:D

[stlsaxman]

11. Actually- "Hold On" was an old work chant of the black south...

Odetta sung the original- "Keep your hand on the plow and hold on"...

During the civil rights movement of the 50's and 60's "eyes on the prize" was adapted...


That is the version The Boss covers... and it STILL gives me goosebumps!

:hi:

[liberalpragmatist]

12. Honestly, this is probably an outlier

My guess is Obama's real number right now is roughly around the major polling averages -- somewhere between 6 and 8 points.

Still, good number to see!

[melody]

16. The lowest polling number I've seen is +6 so the outlier would be +10

Not +6-8 imo

[Alexander]

19. Nope, a tracking poll today came out with similar numbers.

I'm cautiously optimistic. But if these poll numbers are correct, we are headed for a Democratic landslide.

[CANDO]

14. A Presidential win is great, but we must have a 60 vote Senate!

eom

[Turbineguy]

17. That may even be enough

to offset republican cheating! :woohoo:

[The Right Way]

26. The Right Way

Does any one believe that the fix is in and that McCain will try to steal the election at the last minute?

[Turbineguy]

28. Welcome to DU

Have a great time!

[hezekkia]

21. i think it's more like +9

Nate has a good analysis of the poll over at fivethirtyeight.com (highly addicting website!), where he says he thinks the right number is around +11. It'll be a fun debate tomorrow w/ some McDesperation I bet.

[The Brethren]

22. Congratulations to Obhama and Biden!!!

Despite McCorpse and Poison Palin's desperate attempt to save their campaign, their filthy antics haven't stopped voters from making it clear they want Obhama/Biden in office, not them.

I just pray we don't have another rigged election!!!!!!


:kick:

[The Right Way]

23. Good news

I won't believe Obama will win until he has a twenty point lead. I will still vote for him anyway..

[CountAllVotes]

24. Welcome to the DU The Right Way

:hi: and welcome!

I too will believe it when I see it.

We cannot afford to let our guard down even a tiny bit until Nov. 4th. We are dealing with criminals we must not forget.

Now is the time! :D

:dem:

[Geronimo12]

25. It's over

With 20 days till election day McCain can say good bye to his electoral chances.

[vincenzoesq]

27. O's 14 point lead as seen by the creepfreeps

Interesting reactions from the wingdings
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2105645/posts

GOBAMA!

[4lbs]

30. Yeah, they are funny.

Last week, when it was just 3 points, and Obama and McCain were about tied with Independents, the freepers were clinging to it as the "reference" and ignored all others.

Suddenly, now that's a 14 point margin for Obama, the same freepers that clung to it last week now claim it's worthless.

:rofl:

[AnAnonymousDemocrat]

35. Wow, they're pathetic, aren't they?

If any news source disagrees with their point of view, they label it as the "liberal media".

Sometimes the truth just hurts. Guess they haven't learned that little lesson yet.

[MyOwnPeace]

36. "Wingdings....."

and that's putting it kindly. There are some serious nut-jobs writing in that one!
I'm sorry - I just don't understand how they can be so blind...................

[yellowcanine]

39. there is NO FREAKIN WAY he has a 14 point lead..MAYBE 3-4, MAYBE

My guess is they are still in the denial stage.

[Kalifornia.Kid]

42. Repugs invented fuzzy math ...

Landslide numbers for McCain coming in from the State of DENIAL.

[ann_american2004]

44. OMG that's too crazy!

Some are talking about secession. was that the original plan all along? Is Jesusland going to separate from the US and name Palin as their President? LOL.

[senseandsensibility]

29. kick

:kick:

[DuaneBidoux]

31. I want this bumper sticker on my car: "Now THAT'S a mandate."

[llmart]

37. Oh, yes....

that would be a great one for after Obama wins!

[kskiska]

34. Poll Finds Attacks by McCain Turn Off Voters

Source: NYT

The McCain campaign’s recent angry tone and sharply personal attacks on Senator Barack Obama appear to have backfired and tarnished Senator John McCain more than their intended target, the latest New York Times/CBS News poll has found.

After several weeks in which the McCain campaign unleashed a series of strong political attacks on Mr. Obama, trying to tie him to a former 1960s radical, among other things, the poll found that more voters see Mr. McCain as waging a negative campaign than Mr. Obama. Six in 10 voters surveyed said that Mr. McCain had spent more time attacking Mr. Obama than explaining what he would do as president; by about the same number, voters said Mr. Obama was spending more of his time explaining than attacking.

Over all, the poll found that if the election were held today, 53 percent of those determined to be probable voters said that they would vote for Mr. Obama and 39 percent said they would vote for Mr. McCain.

(snip)

Voters who said that their opinions of Mr. Obama had changed recently were twice as likely to say that they had gotten better as to say they had gotten worse. And voters who said that their views of Mr. McCain had changed were three times more likely to say that they had gotten worse than to say they had improved.

The top reasons cited by those who said that thought less of Mr. McCain were his recent attacks and his choice of Gov. Sarah Palin of Alaska as his running mate. (The vast majority said that their opinions of Mr. Obama, the Democratic nominee, and Mr. McCain, the Republican nominee, had remained unchanged in recent weeks.) But in recent days, Mr. McCain and Ms. Palin have scaled back their attacks on Mr. Obama, although Mr. McCain suggested he might aggressively take on Mr. Obama in Wednesday’s debate.

Read more: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/15/us/politics/15poll.html?_r=1&pagewanted=print&oref=slogin

[yellowcanine]

38. Go ahead Johnny. Bring up Ayers at the debate. I dare you.

Why not make it a 20 point deficit? You cn do it Johnny.

[AnAnonymousDemocrat]

40. I believe this is the first time that McCain has dipped below 40% in a national poll, right?

I saw that an Ipsos poll released today also had him at 39%, but I think the CBS poll is a bigger deal for the name recognition.

[ryanmuegge]

41. LOL. Ouch. That's got to hurt.

[sellitman]

43. Is that all?

How the heck could it even be this close?

If we don't win this thing by 20% or more then WTF?

Do you all realize the record the repiggies are running on?

14% is not a landslide considering.