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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-20-07 03:14 PM
Original message
Fed forecasts unemployment bump in 2008
Source: AP

WASHINGTON - The Federal Reserve reported Tuesday that it expects slower economic growth and a slight bump up in unemployment next year due to the housing slump and a credit crunch. The board also said, however, that it thinks inflation will remain moderate.

The fresh assessment of the country's future economic performance was issued by the Fed in the first of its quarterly reports to the nation.

On the growth side, the Fed said it believes that business growth will slow next year, with the gross domestic product (GDP) coming in between 1.8 percent and 2.5 percent. That would be weaker than how the Fed expects the economy to perform this year and would mark a downgrade to a previous projection released in the summer.

The downgrade was due to a number of factors, including "the tightened terms and reduced availability of subprime and jumbo mortgages, weaker-than-expected housing data and rising oil prices," the Fed explained.

Read more: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20071120/ap_on_bi_go_ec_fi/fed_forecast



I found it interesting that they're predicting a flattening of energy prices over the next few years. Note, that's not a drop but for prices to stabilize. Unless there's an increase in wages won't that still pose a problem for the economy?

Also, did I miss the report last year that predicted the 3.6 percent consumer price increase that we've had so far this year? Or is that simply not considered when they're bragging about the lack of a "major inflation problems" due to rising energy cost?
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AnneD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-20-07 03:22 PM
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1. Translation to real speak....
We have been fudging the books for so long now, we need to adjust the numbers again so they look a little more realistic.
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sarcasmo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-20-07 03:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. Bump, LMFAO. We are at a hill here in Michigan we went past bump last year.
7.7 were the numbers at the end of October, realistically it's 20 percent.
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-20-07 03:45 PM
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3. "Bump" sounds so innocuous
It means more people entering a world of misery - loss of homes, of possessions, of health insurance, often of marriages. But it's just a bump.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-20-07 09:40 PM
Response to Original message
4. Just a Bump
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BadGimp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-20-07 10:33 PM
Response to Original message
5. notice the time: Tue Nov 20, 5:05 PM ET
notice the time: Tue Nov 20, 5:05 PM ET

right on the eve of the biggest Get Away day of the year

Co ink e dink? I think not kiddies.

holy shit they are actually "trying" to tell the truth, or is this more dog whistle stuff?

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