2007 Yearly Tropical Cyclone Activity to Date ( 2007 lowest September activity on record since 1977

[robcon]

Source: COAPS - Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies

There are currently two worldwide tropical cyclones: Tropical Storm Noel and Unnamed Arabian Sea TS...

The North Atlantic hurricane season is currently nearly 30% below normal in terms of a well-known activity metric called ACE. While the number of named storms is above normal, their integrated intensity has not matched the hyper-active expectations of many seasonal forecasters (e.g. NOAA 140-200% above median). The Eastern Pacific off the western coast of Mexico is also experiencing record inactivity. http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml

Read more: http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/

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The predicted more than doubling of average hurricane/cyclone activity and intensity for this season has not come through. Instead, there has been the lowest activity in 30 years. Pre-season hurricane prediction remains largely informed guesswork, IMO.

[librechik]

1. it does, however, support the "unpredictable extremes of weather" prediction

which is the one everyone agrees on, SFAIK.

[StClone]

2. If we don't have Hurricanes

We will have some other means to dissipate heat in the ocean. Watch for a mild winter in the N. Hemisphere followed by a cool early Spring with some wild weather in between.