Poll: Obama, Romney Ahead In Iowa

[TeddyKGB]

Source: Talking Points Memo

A new Iowa poll from Newsweek shows Mitt Romney and Barack Obama narrowly leading their respective caucuses, though the results are within the margins of error.

Among Democrats, Obama has the support of 28% of likely caucus-goers, followed by Hillary Clinton's 24%, John Edwards at 22%, and Bill Richardson at 10%. The margin of error is ±7%.

Obama also leads in the combined first/second choices with 52%, followed by Hillary at 44%, Edwards at 41%, and Richardson with 19%.

Among Republicans, Mitt Romney has 24% support among likely caucus-goers, followed by Fred Thompson at 16%, Rudy Giuliani with 13%, Mike Huckabee at 12%, and John McCain with 9%. The margin of error is ±9%.

Read more: http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2007/09/poll_obama_romney_ahead_in_iowa.php

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If I may be allowed to editorialize:

YES! :)

[bluestateguy]

1. A 7-9 point margin of error?

Why even bother at that point?

[wiley]

2. You're right about that!

Any poll taken from now until the primaries start are useless. They are just media tools trying to influence the voting public for their corporate masters. It's all airtime, baby. Tim Russert is an asshole!

[iaviate1]

3. Just what we need...

People who would continue the war and are against equal rights for all Americans. Ugh.

[Maryland Liberal]

4. Obama can save us

From the Curse of Hillary

[zanne]

5. GOBAMA!

In NH, about 90% of the voters "haven't made up their minds yet". Go, Iowa!

[Bichonpups]

11. Obama ...... yes and

I certainly hope so!

[JanusAscending]

14. Wow!

Love your "name"! I have a baby boy Bichon! Welcome to DU, and GO BAMA !! Lots of folks aren't giving him his "props", but we bichon lovers are a more intelligent "breed" !!!:hi: DC

[Skip Intro]

18. "...from the Curse of HIllary" - ????!!!!

that's what's turned me off to Obama for months now - the attitude of some of his supporters. Can't just be gracious at good news for your guy, gotta slime the other candidates while doing so.

Does Obama no good.

[Cessna Invesco Palin]

6. wow.

the republicans are divided as hell. Guess they've forgotten how to have a primary where the front runner is not preordained.

[Imagevision]

7. Excellant! - for some reason I do not trust Bill Cliton anymore...

[grahamhgreen]

9. Maybe because he pushed through the free trade agreements that are gutting workers rights around the

world.

[grahamhgreen]

8. Good, I really don't like Hillary's idea of mandatory health insurance,

like car insurance.

It's like having to pay taxes to private companies, who are unanswerable to us, and who will just screw you out of your benefits when you need them most (when you become a financial burdon to the companies bottom line - ie, you're sick).

Oh yeah, not to mention that she said during the debates that she will keep us in Iraq until 2013.

[JanusAscending]

15. Good points!

but she lost any "iota" of a chance I'd vote for her in the primaries when she voted YAY on Benedict LIEberman's ammendment!!! Gravel had the guts to call her on it. "SHAME ON YOU HILLARY"!!! Nope, can't abide that vote!!!

[davsand]

10. We keep getting asked to go into Iowa and haven't made it over there yet.

One of Obama's campaign guys is somebody we worked with pretty closely last year on a State Senate race and he's become a friend. We went through the wars (and back again!) with him in that campaign. This guy has BTDT and has the t-shirts (along with scars) to prove it. I was kinda bummed when Zach told me he was going to a Presidential campaign--until he told me who he was working for.

Every time I see Zach, after he hugs me, he asks me when we're gonna come to Iowa and work for Obama. I keep telling him I want to go, but it will have to be after Mid-October when life settles down a bit. Seeing this kind of polling data makes me start itching to get there!



Laura

[Quixote1818]

12. How did Edwards drop so much? nt

[hedgehog]

13. Is it a case of people shifting from Edwards to one or the other of the

(apparent) front runners? I can see someone saying, well, I like Edwards but I want to make sure Y doesn't get it, so I'm going with X.

[goclark]

16. But, but the ConMedia says it's HC all the way

This must be some kind of mistake. :sarcasm:

Everyone knows that GOBAMA doesn't stand a chance.

I just got an email from his campaign to donation some more $$$'s-- they are raising money like crazy.

Guess they didn't get the message that he doesn't have a chance.

Got to GO now to give GObama some more of my money. :bounce:

[robcon]

17. I've never heard of a margin of error of 9%

What - did they ask 20 people????

[Skip Intro]

19. ARG Iowa poll: Clinton 30%, Obama 24%, Edwards 19% - X-Post from GDP

maximusveritas (683 posts) Sun Sep-30-07 09:42 PM
Original message

ARG Iowa poll: Clinton 30%, Obama 24%, Edwards 19%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres08/iadem8-710.html

Not too much of a change from previous results, though it seems to confirm that Obama and Clinton have surged past Edwards.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic caucus goers living in Iowa (496 Democrats and 104 no party (independent) voters).

Sample Dates: September 26-29, 2007

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

[BenDavid]

20. Newsweek poll-surely you jest...Factually

it is wrong and here tis the reason I believe.If you take into account the overall numbers -- not specifically among voters who say they're "likely" to go to the caucuses -- are more favorable to HRC. The poll also suggests that HRC's supporters may be more solidly in her camp than are backers of Obama and Edwards, with a larger proportion of HRC voters characterizing their support as "strong."

Hey, I give Obama credit. He can at least say he has one poll where he leads HRC....

Ben David

[BenDavid]

21. Added information:

Likely Democratic Caucus Goers Sept 26th - Sept 29th Sep 07

Biden 3%
Clinton 30%
Dodd 1%
Edwards 19%
Gravel -
Kucinich 1%
Obama 24%
Richardson 10%
Undecided 13%

American Research Group, Inc

[demo dutch]

22. Sorry I just don't think Obama is electable

[and-justice-for-all]

23. I saw my first "I heart Obama' bumper sticker yesterday..

I saw it on my way to work, here in Indiana.