The discussion focused on swarming. It also focused on Naval power. We aren't going to be 'alone' out there in the Gulf. And we aren't going to engage in any 'land war' with those guys, so put that shit out of your head.
What discussion? You mean the article I linked? Because you didn't focus on swarming, let alone making a distinction, as did the article, between mass swarming and disperse swarming as an Iranian naval tactic.
You brought up what happened to the Israeli gunboat during the latest Israel/Lebanon conflict, without drawing details of how it related to our "
discussion."As for a land war on the part of the US against the Iranians, I really don't know, either do you. I guess it would depend on what it takes to obtain the objectives.
he Iranian Navy clearly does not seek superiority against us, because they won't get it. That's like the kindergarten basketball team seeking superiority against the LA Lakers. And that is a kind analogy.
I fail to see the point you're trying to make. Of course, the Iranians know they won't gain superiority against us, just as the Vietminh and Viet Cong knew they couldn't gain superiority against us. They didn't/don't have to.
As for "a kind of analogy," isn't that like being kind of pregnant?
I don't think you realize what dire straits the Iranian economy is in. If you think the dollar is shit, the rial is toilet paper. The infrastructure there is CRUMBLING. The highways haven't been properly mended since the damned seventies. The paint on the buildings at the old Shah Reza air base is the SAME paint--not the same color, the same paint. And it's almost gone.
Oh Pl-ueeze. Iran is allegedly on the verge of crumbling since 1979, but in a couple of years will be coming up to the 30-year anniversary of the Iranian Revolution. If the dollar does collapse, and I'm not saying it will, the global market will collapse across the board.
Iran has the largest increase in proved oil reserves, a 5% increase in 2005, shadowing even Saudi Arabia with 4.9% in 2005. China, India, and even Europe are becoming ever increasingly reliant on Iran oil to power their growing economic might.
I would also suggest you read "All the Shah's Men" by Stephen Kinzer where he spends a chapter on how historically the Persian mindset is willing to endure hardships, setbacks, and differences in order to maintain the Persian ideals.
They have no spare cash. They're spending hand over fist to pay the widows and orphans of the I/I war, and to pay to refine gasoline offshore because they have insufficient--woefully so--refining capability.
Well ... whether you want to face the fact or not, Iran is spending money towards obtaining nuclear power capacity. It is also going to supply Iraq with electrical power and wheat.
It is true Iran has some problems with refining capabilities, but the following link gives a much more objective and realistic picture:
Iran Refining SectorAccording to Juan Cole, Iran is flushed with oil money and is developing relations with Iraq it hasn't had since the 50's.
There will never be 'boots on the ground' in Iran. Never. We've no interest in occupying, because their neighbors, the Russkies, won't like it and won't put up with it, and we've no wish to get into a shitty back and forth with them. So get over the Iraq and Afghanistan paradigm.
As I said before, it depends on what objectives are set and met by the US in accordance with Iran. As for boots on the ground, there are probably already Kurdish boots on the ground coming from Iraq. You do realize there have been ongoing skirmishes between Iraqi Kurds and Iran.
As for what the Russians will tolerate, the US already has troops in the nation of Georgia and thousands of troops in Central Asia buffering the Russian border. The Russians also know that Western powers have been meddling in Ukrainian politics. Russia also knows that the US has been meddling in Dagestan to instigate problems for Russia in Chechnya.
You're suggesting that Russia will draw the line at Iran?
Iran, IF--and it's a way less likely 'if' than many here think--we do anything to them, will be a sea and air evolution, with no occupation. And it won't happen without provocation. Serious provocation.
True. Nothing might happen, but that does not dilute the issues at hand. After all, according to Rumsfeld, the Iraq campaign would not last longer than three weeks, and certainly not six-months. Go figure.