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HeeBGBz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 05:00 PM
Original message
Better Interviews Said Key to Exit Polls
Better Interviews Said Key to Exit Polls

snip

"MIAMI BEACH, Fla. - Better training of interviewers to get a proper sample of voters after they cast ballots will be key to improving the performance of exit polls, one pollster who handled the 2004 election surveys said Saturday.

Exit polls on Election Day 2004 overstated support for Democrat John Kerry overall and in many key states, which led to widespread confusion that day about the election eventually won by President Bush."

snip

"Mitofsky said the 2004 problems could have been caused by several factors:

_haphazard choice of voters to interview

_lengthy questionnaires

_legal restrictions that kept exit poll interviewers 50 feet or more from voting locations

_hiring of too many young interviewers

_inadequate monitoring of interviewers

Some researchers are still quarreling whether the problems were with the exit poll or the vote count and possible fraud."


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BamaLefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 05:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. I Ain't Surprised...
now they we will win and they will say "What went wrong with the exit polls?" :eyes:
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Zorra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 05:06 PM
Response to Original message
2. GOP manufactured exit polling machines is what they really mean.
Gotta match those exit polls with the altered election results from those electronic "voting" machines.

(Voting is in quotes because the machines are actually "election altering devices".)
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 08:23 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. Diebold Republican Electing Machines
That's what DRE stands for.


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booksenkatz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 05:30 PM
Response to Original message
3. Luckily, they only need to do the training in swing states
The exit polls in the non-swing states operated just swell. Only in the swing states were they "wonky," you know.
:crazy:

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KurtNYC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 08:57 AM
Response to Reply #3
18. Yes, And next they can work on how to "fix" opinion polls
Edited on Mon May-16-05 08:57 AM by KurtNYC
since this guy who was supposedly elected with a mandate now polls at less than 44% approval. :eyes:
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Gyre Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 05:36 PM
Response to Original message
4. I smell.....Bullshit!
Same protocols were used in the US general election that were used in the general election in Britain a few weeks ago.

Their exit polls and the results were w/in a 1 percentage point of each other. Ours were out by a mile. THAT =s very strong circumstantial evidence election theft.

Now the enablers of the election theft are trying to explain how they didn't help chimpy steal the election after the issue has completely died. That's called a "spontaneous declaration" and in court is often contrued to represent reliable evidence of criminal involvement. Screw our treacherous media and their families w/ M16s.

Gyre

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fedupinBushcountry Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 05:43 PM
Response to Original message
5. HOGWASH
n/t
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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 06:05 PM
Response to Original message
6. No. The secret is to not run against the George Bush.
Edited on Sat May-14-05 06:06 PM by progressivebydesign
That should take care of that pesky exit poll problem. How do these brilliant people explain 2000, as well? It never should have been close enough to steal in 2000, either.

Such bullshit. WHy don't they spend their time working on NON computerized ballots??? Hmmmmm...

On edit: well, story came out of Florida of all places. Imagine that.
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Phoebe Loosinhouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. I have a whole new take on exit polls
Before 2004 I was against them - I thought they impinged on my privacy at a polling place and I thought that they shaped elections when networks made their calls too early. I now understand that they are a very powerful tool to prevent against election fraud like we saw in Ohio and they are one of our few methods at this point of verifying the vote. I think we should all RUN to find the exit poller and tell them how we voted. Of course, we really should have a paper receipt of our vote that we could supply if there were ever need of an audit (like right now in Ohio, like in Florida in 2000, like right in your backyard tomorrow) Beware of ANY effort to get rid of exit polling, and you can believe it will be Republicans trying to do it.
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Stevepol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 08:41 PM
Response to Original message
9. Suddenly there's something wrong with the Exit Polls.
After the 02 fraud in GA, the exit polls disappeared from the IT, yet they were quite accurate, at least within the MOE in all the other states besides GA where the GA pollsters did their polls. Odd, especially considering that for the first time Diebold did all the vote counting all the time in GA in 02, without auditing, without recounting, without questioning. Curious. Step aside. We'll do it.
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darkism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 02:28 AM
Response to Original message
10. BS. The polls are fine.
Edited on Mon May-16-05 02:28 AM by darkism
It's the massive unchecked lack-of-a-paper-trail fraud that throws everything off.
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Daphne08 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 02:42 AM
Response to Original message
11. Bullsh*t
Enough said.

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Skittles Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 04:00 AM
Response to Original message
12. ridiculous
lol, they always worked until the GOP started stealing elecitons, ya know?
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Skittles Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 04:00 AM
Response to Original message
13. ridiculous
lol, they always worked until the GOP started stealing elecitons, ya know?
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 04:04 AM
Response to Original message
14. Easy.. "Who did you vote for"? How hard is THAT???
followed by ...age? (by decade)
party?

This is NOT rocket science:eyes:
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screembloodymurder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 04:35 AM
Response to Original message
15. WTF? There are only two questions.
1. Who did you vote for?
2. Why?
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Enraged_Ape Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 06:42 AM
Response to Reply #15
16. Well, obviously the questionnaire is flawed
The questions really should read:

1. Why did you vote Republican?
2. Why is George W. Bush the greatest President in history?
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dbt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 06:49 AM
Response to Original message
17. How come exit polls work JUST FINE everywhere
except Murka? How come they worked just fine HERE until the Supposed Election of 2000?

:think:
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